Happy Valley · 2021-09-22
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL Closed strongly B 1.38.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 1 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER KIN Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | KA FORTUNE Closed strongly B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 4.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS B/XB/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 11 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | OFF THE REEL XB/E1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER H/XB/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 7 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | ANONYMA Led early L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 6 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 9 | 33.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 3 | 9.9 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 4 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD B2 A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 8.3 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-09-22 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ALL JOYFUL, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with PRESIDENT STAR second and SUPER KIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite KA FORTUNE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KA FORTUNE | 20.3% | 4.93 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 18.9% | 5.30 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | OFF THE REEL | 9.7% | 10.34 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | ANONYMA | 9.5% | 10.55 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 7.6% | 13.16 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG | 6.4% | 15.68 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL | 5.9% | 16.84 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS | 5.6% | 17.76 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER KIN | 5.3% | 18.81 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 4.8% | 20.84 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 3.9% | 25.59 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 2.1% | 46.96 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 191
PLACE
1 57
4 24.5
8 54.5
QUINELLA
1,4 775.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 240.5
1,8 683
4,8 218
FORECAST
1,4 1,337
TIERCE
1,4,8 33,287
TRIO
1,4,8 4,630
FIRST 4
1,3,4,8 3,162
QUARTET
1,4,8,3 110,275
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/1 501
5/4 54.5
3 PICK 1
A3 19.5
A2 —
A1 —