Happy Valley · 2021-09-22
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEANINGFUL STAR Closed strongly B 1.48.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 2.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS Led early B/XB V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 6 | 7.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 1 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 30.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NOTHING NEW Closed strongly XB A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPERBELLA Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 5.6 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | INDICATIVE VOTE Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 10 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | VINCY CP-/SR/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 11 | 61.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NORDIC SKY SR1/XB1 M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 2 | 33.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 7.4 | 9 |
| — | 0 | BIGWOOD M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2021-09-22 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MEANINGFUL STAR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with WORLD FAMOUS second and XIANG BAI QI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 15.7% | 6.36 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 12.3% | 8.12 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI | 12.2% | 8.17 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 12.1% | 8.29 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 11.9% | 8.43 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 10.0% | 10.00 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | INDICATIVE VOTE | 7.8% | 12.81 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | NOTHING NEW | 7.5% | 13.38 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | VINCY | 6.0% | 16.57 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS | 3.3% | 30.06 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | NORDIC SKY | 1.1% | 88.93 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 29.5
PLACE
3 29.5
9 27.5
11 14.5
QUINELLA
9,11 120.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 150
3,11 73
9,11 45
FORECAST
11,9 256
TIERCE
11,9,3 1,847
TRIO
3,9,11 431
FIRST 4
3,4,9,11 1,223
QUARTET
11,9,3,4 15,032
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19.5
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
6/9 53
6/11 82