Happy Valley · 2021-09-22
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-09-22 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HARMONY N BLESSED, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 2-1/4, with HEART CONQUERED second and HARMONY FIRE third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HARMONY N BLESSED BO/XB/TT 0.55.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 2.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | HEART CONQUERED T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 8 | 9.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 4.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | BRILLIANT LIFE A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 100.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | JAZZ STEED TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | GUNNISON K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | HONG KONG BET B1/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 5 | 5.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | WINE AND WINE TT K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 10 | 37.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | WILD WEST WING V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 55.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE | 27.2% | 3.67 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | HONG KONG BET | 20.8% | 4.81 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 19.4% | 5.14 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | HEART CONQUERED | 10.4% | 9.59 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | JAZZ STEED | 6.9% | 14.43 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | FLYING GENIUS | 5.4% | 18.65 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | WILD WEST WING | 3.3% | 30.37 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | WINE AND WINE | 3.1% | 31.89 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | GUNNISON | 2.1% | 48.17 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | BRILLIANT LIFE | 1.3% | 74.77 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 21.5
PLACE
3 14.5
6 12
7 24.5
QUINELLA
6,7 115.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 22.5
3,7 66.5
6,7 44
FORECAST
6,7 231
TIERCE
6,7,3 659
TRIO
3,6,7 132
FIRST 4
3,6,7,8 1,289
QUARTET
6,7,3,8 17,602
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,12/3,6,7 78,115
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
5/6 225.5
5/7 131
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,5/3,5,12/3,6,7 4,550,089
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,5/3,5,12/Any Combination 29,893