Happy Valley · 2021-12-01
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-12-01 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. UNIVERSAL CROWN, ridden by K H Chan and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2-1/4, with SHANGHAI POWER second and DRAGON PRIDE third. The 3.7 favourite SHANGHAI POWER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | UNIVERSAL CROWN XB-/B/TT- 0.57.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | SHANGHAI POWER B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 3 | 3.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | DRAGON PRIDE B- M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | NITRO EXPRESS B/TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 8 | 69.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | RAGING BLAZE TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | CIGAR BUDDIES B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 9.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SPLIT OF A SECOND CP/H B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 4 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | XIANG LAN QI B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 9 | 58.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | CASA KINGDOM XB/B2 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 7 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | VIVA CHEF B M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 5 | 6.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | ENJOY MY LIFE XB Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 6 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 10 | WINNING STRIKES B C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 5.7 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SHANGHAI POWER | 18.7% | 5.35 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | RAGING BLAZE | 16.1% | 6.22 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 15.9% | 6.27 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | VIVA CHEF | 14.2% | 7.04 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 8.5% | 11.78 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | XIANG LAN QI | 6.6% | 15.22 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | NITRO EXPRESS | 5.1% | 19.50 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 4.8% | 20.77 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | CASA KINGDOM | 4.6% | 21.75 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | ENJOY MY LIFE | 3.4% | 29.77 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | DRAGON PRIDE | 2.1% | 46.53 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 54.5
PLACE
3 16
8 18
11 37
QUINELLA
3,8 127
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 51
3,11 75.5
8,11 115
FORECAST
8,3 337
TIERCE
8,3,11 2,480
TRIO
3,8,11 447
FIRST 4
2,3,8,11 3,994
QUARTET
8,3,11,2 61,022
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/3 18
3/8 341
3 PICK 1
A3 17
A2 —
A1 —