Happy Valley · 2021-12-01
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly 1.49.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 2 | 3.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN Led early B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 5 | 6.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 1 | 33.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS B-/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 9 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 8 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE Closed strongly C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B-/CP1 A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 4 | 8.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI B L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 3 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 6.2 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | FAST PACE H C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER OASIS B/XB2 R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 11 | 9.7 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-12-01 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. TIANCHI MONSTER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by W Y So, won by N, with SAVVY KINGMAN second and RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 19.1% | 5.23 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 17.0% | 5.88 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 11.1% | 8.99 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 9.3% | 10.71 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | FAST PACE | 7.9% | 12.60 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 7.8% | 12.82 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 6.6% | 15.24 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS | 5.7% | 17.42 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI | 4.9% | 20.46 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 4.1% | 24.22 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER OASIS | 4.1% | 24.60 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 2.3% | 43.36 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 37.5
PLACE
3 16.5
6 22.5
9 62.5
QUINELLA
3,6 126.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 47.5
3,9 231
6,9 324
FORECAST
3,6 188
TIERCE
3,6,9 4,420
TRIO
3,6,9 1,445
FIRST 4
3,6,8,9 4,252
QUARTET
3,6,9,8 55,592
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 24
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
10/3 276.5
10/6 73.5