Happy Valley · 2021-12-22 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI Closed strongly TT 1.39.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 7 | 2.9 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS Led early B/XB/TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 3 | 3.8 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | WONDER WIN Closed strongly K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 6 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly SR/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 11 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER Closed strongly H/XB/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 9 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS B/TT L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 8 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR CP2/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 2 | 20.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | AEROSONIC P-/PC1/TT- H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 92.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART COUSIN K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 5 | 17.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | WITTY SCHOLAR R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 12 | 77.0 | 18 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-12-22 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY JAI JAI, ridden by J Moreira and trained by T P Yung, won by HD, with CENTENARY IBIS second and WONDER WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 21.7% | 4.61 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS | 17.1% | 5.84 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 13.3% | 7.50 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 8.3% | 12.00 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 7.3% | 13.67 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDER WIN | 6.8% | 14.76 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 6.3% | 15.80 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 5.7% | 17.41 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 5.3% | 19.04 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 4.2% | 23.58 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | AEROSONIC | 2.7% | 37.29 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | WITTY SCHOLAR | 1.2% | 85.20 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 29.5
PLACE
4 50
7 13.5
10 14.5
QUINELLA
7,10 55.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 93
4,10 112
7,10 25.5
FORECAST
7,10 91
TIERCE
7,10,4 1,030
TRIO
4,7,10 272
FIRST 4
1,4,7,10 355
QUARTET
7,10,4,1 6,331
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 21