Happy Valley · 2021-12-22 · 21:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-12-22 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY ARCHANGEL, ridden by H Bentley and trained by F C Lor, won by HD, with SAVVY DELIGHT second and INFINITY WIN third. The 3.5 favourite SAVVY DELIGHT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP/XB 1.09.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 1 | 3.9 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | SAVVY DELIGHT TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 3.5 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | INFINITY WIN B/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 4 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | THE JOLLY B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 6 | 47.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | TURBO POWER C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 9 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT- M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 11 | 83.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | AHEAD A HEAD B C Y Ho · T P Yung | C Y Ho | T P Yung | 3 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | HARRIER JET B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 53.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 4.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | WINNING GLORY TT1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 164.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | HERO STAR TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | HAPPY PROFIT CP-/B1/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 27.0 | 16-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MELBOURNE HALL | 21.8% | 4.58 | 9 |
| 2 | 5 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 19.0% | 5.25 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | INFINITY WIN | 17.6% | 5.70 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 8.1% | 12.30 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | AHEAD A HEAD | 8.1% | 12.34 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | HAPPY PROFIT | 7.0% | 14.20 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | HERO STAR | 5.4% | 18.53 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | TURBO POWER | 5.2% | 19.35 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | THE JOLLY | 3.7% | 27.39 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | HANDSOME REBEL | 1.9% | 51.70 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | HARRIER JET | 1.6% | 62.28 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | WINNING GLORY | 0.5% | 189.43 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 39.5
PLACE
3 25.5
5 18.5
9 15
QUINELLA
5,9 102
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 66
3,9 63
5,9 37.5
FORECAST
9,5 228
TIERCE
9,5,3 1,442
TRIO
3,5,9 280
FIRST 4
3,5,9,12 1,493
QUARTET
9,5,3,12 25,825
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18.5
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
9/5 11.5
9/9 116.5