Happy Valley · 2021-12-22 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DR WINNING Closed strongly TT 1.40.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 2.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 2 | 9.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | LOYAL BABY Led early B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 9 | 6.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | EVER LAUGH B/TT L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 3 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY B A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 5 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 9.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · D E Ferraris | H Bentley | D E Ferraris | 11 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MR ALDAN Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 44.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly B-/V1/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 12 | 62.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS H-/XB/TT- C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 26.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | HYPERION TREE M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 94.0 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 33.0 | 3-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-12-22 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DR WINNING, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with GLORIOUS LOVER second and LOYAL BABY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DR WINNING | 29.3% | 3.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 15.8% | 6.34 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 11.1% | 8.97 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 8.3% | 12.10 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 7.2% | 13.96 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY | 7.0% | 14.37 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 5.8% | 17.28 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS | 5.7% | 17.40 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS | 3.5% | 28.69 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | MR ALDAN | 2.9% | 34.19 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 2.7% | 37.57 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | HYPERION TREE | 0.8% | 131.52 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 26.5
PLACE
1 22
9 13
10 26
QUINELLA
9,10 130.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 38.5
1,10 86.5
9,10 46
FORECAST
9,10 201
TIERCE
9,10,1 649
TRIO
1,9,10 174
FIRST 4
1,3,9,10 287
QUARTET
9,10,1,3 3,727
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3>6,7,9/1,9,10 2,880
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 21
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
6,9/9 61.5
6,9/10 38.5