Happy Valley · 2021-12-22 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-12-22 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WILD WEST WING, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Size, won by 1-3/4, with PACKING CHAMPION second and TREASURE OF FIELD third. The 3.3 favourite GOOD BEAUTY finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WILD WEST WING 0.56.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | PACKING CHAMPION P-/H H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | TREASURE OF FIELD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 5 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SEA ELITE B-/H/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 4 | 7.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS H1/TT1 M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 11 | 61.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 7 | 8.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY TIME B2/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 3 | 8.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 2 | 3.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | ARES B1 H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 8 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | LUCKY QUALITY K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 21.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | FARIBAULT XB C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GOOD BEAUTY | 22.9% | 4.38 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 13.6% | 7.34 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | HAPPY TIME | 10.7% | 9.39 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | SEA ELITE | 8.9% | 11.19 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | FARIBAULT | 8.5% | 11.74 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | WILD WEST WING | 7.2% | 13.94 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | PACKING CHAMPION | 6.8% | 14.76 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | FORTUNE HERO | 6.6% | 15.08 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | LUCKY QUALITY | 5.5% | 18.31 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 5.0% | 19.81 | 12 |
| 11 | 2 | ARES | 2.7% | 36.38 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 1.6% | 63.17 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 72.5
PLACE
3 22.5
9 55.5
12 46
QUINELLA
3,12 536
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 213
3,12 163
9,12 320
FORECAST
3,12 934
TIERCE
3,12,9 11,791
TRIO
3,9,12 2,550
FIRST 4
3,9,11,12 3,862
QUARTET
3,12,9,11 74,132
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/3 152.5
7/12 97.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 23