Happy Valley · 2022-01-26 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-26 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HAPPY JAI JAI, ridden by J Moreira and trained by T P Yung, won by 4-1/4, with SHANGHAI GRACE second and GORGEOUS INHERITOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HAPPY JAI JAI Closed strongly TT 1.39.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 2 | 2.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SHANGHAI GRACE Led early B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 8 | 5.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR Closed strongly M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GREAT TIMES Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 9 | 122.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly B-/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 11 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 7 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | RUBY STARS TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 10 | 68.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | LEGEND GOES B C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | ALL YOU KNOW B/H/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 12 | 9.9 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | AEROSONIC Closed strongly H/PC/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 28.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | CASA KINGDOM B-/XB- B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.4 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | FORTUNE WINNER H-/V/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 4 | 67.0 | 16-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 36.1% | 2.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | ALL YOU KNOW | 13.0% | 7.67 | 9 |
| 3 | 4 | CASA KINGDOM | 12.8% | 7.81 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | LEGEND GOES | 6.5% | 15.42 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 6.5% | 15.44 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 6.4% | 15.61 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | DAILY BEAUTY | 6.2% | 16.18 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 4.6% | 21.57 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | AEROSONIC | 4.1% | 24.24 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | RUBY STARS | 2.0% | 49.82 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | FORTUNE WINNER | 0.9% | 111.38 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | GREAT TIMES | 0.9% | 115.69 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 21
PLACE
6 13
9 43
12 16
QUINELLA
6,12 49
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 67
6,12 23
9,12 127
FORECAST
6,12 63
TIERCE
6,12,9 660
TRIO
6,9,12 258
FIRST 4
6,7,9,12 4,444
QUARTET
6,12,9,7 25,041
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/6 57
3/12 28
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5