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Happy Valley · 2022-01-26 · 19:16

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.75
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HAPPY JAI JAI Closed strongly TT 1.39.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · T P Yung 2 2.1 4-1/4
2 0 SHANGHAI GRACE Led early B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 8 5.1 4-1/4
3 0 GORGEOUS INHERITOR Closed strongly M F Poon · C H Yip 5 21.0 4-3/4
4 0 GREAT TIMES Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Hall 9 122.0 5
5 0 DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly B-/TT K Teetan · C Fownes 11 17.0 6
6 0 PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B/TT L Ferraris · W Y So 7 16.0 6-3/4
7 0 RUBY STARS TT H W Lai · K L Man 10 68.0 7
8 0 LEGEND GOES B C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan 3 15.0 7
9 0 ALL YOU KNOW B/H/TT Z Purton · R Gibson 12 9.9 8
10 0 AEROSONIC Closed strongly H/PC/TT H T Mo · C W Chang 6 28.0 8-3/4
11 0 CASA KINGDOM B-/XB- B Shinn · D A Hayes 1 7.4 9-1/4
12 0 FORTUNE WINNER H-/V/TT K C Leung · L Ho 4 67.0 16-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-26 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HAPPY JAI JAI, ridden by J Moreira and trained by T P Yung, won by 4-1/4, with SHANGHAI GRACE second and GORGEOUS INHERITOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY JAI JAI—2. SHANGHAI GRACE+4.25L3. GORGEOUS INHERITOR+4.75L4. GREAT TIMES+5L5. DAILY BEAUTY+6L6. PAKISTAN ZINDABAD+6.75L7. RUBY STARS+7L8. LEGEND GOES+7L9. ALL YOU KNOW+8L10. AEROSONIC+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick HAPPY JAI JAI (36.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HAPPY JAI JAI 36.1% 2.77 1
2 0 ALL YOU KNOW 13.0% 7.67 9
3 0 CASA KINGDOM 12.8% 7.81 11
4 0 LEGEND GOES 6.5% 15.42 8
5 0 GORGEOUS INHERITOR 6.5% 15.44 3
6 0 PAKISTAN ZINDABAD 6.4% 15.61 6
7 0 DAILY BEAUTY 6.2% 16.18 5
8 0 SHANGHAI GRACE 4.6% 21.57 2
9 0 AEROSONIC 4.1% 24.24 10
10 0 RUBY STARS 2.0% 49.82 7
11 0 FORTUNE WINNER 0.9% 111.38 12
12 0 GREAT TIMES 0.9% 115.69 4
HAPPY JAI JAI — wonALL YOU KNOWCASA KINGDOMLEGEND GOESGORGEOUS INHERITORPAKISTAN ZINDABADDAILY BEAUTYSHANGHAI GRACEAEROSONICRUBY STARSFORTUNE WINNERGREAT TIMES

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 21

PLACE

6 13

9 43

12 16

QUINELLA

6,12 49

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 67

6,12 23

9,12 127

FORECAST

6,12 63

TIERCE

6,12,9 660

TRIO

6,9,12 258

FIRST 4

6,7,9,12 4,444

QUARTET

6,12,9,7 25,041

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

3/6 57

3/12 28

3 PICK 1

A1 16.5

A3 —

A2 —