Happy Valley · 2022-01-26 · 20:46
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-26 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MORE THAN ENOUGH, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with BULLETPROOF second and NEARLY FINE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.4 favourite BULLETPROOF finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH Wire to wire B/TT 1.39.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 9.2 | N |
| 2 | 7 | BULLETPROOF Closed strongly B Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 8 | 2.4 | N |
| 3 | 1 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 10 | 7.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GO FOR TEA H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 61.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | DR WINNING TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | LAPUTA V/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 5 | 28.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | VITRALITE XB/SR1 L Ferraris · P O'Sullivan | L Ferraris | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | TOYCOON CP M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | PASSING FASHION XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 1 | 37.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DR WINNING | 23.9% | 4.18 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | LAPUTA | 23.7% | 4.22 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | BULLETPROOF | 16.9% | 5.92 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | TOYCOON | 9.2% | 10.91 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | NEARLY FINE | 7.0% | 14.29 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 6.2% | 16.13 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 4.4% | 22.51 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | GO FOR TEA | 3.4% | 29.68 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | VITRALITE | 3.2% | 31.05 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | PASSING FASHION | 2.1% | 48.27 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 92.5
PLACE
1 22.5
3 26.5
7 11.5
QUINELLA
3,7 137.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 91
1,7 39
3,7 53.5
FORECAST
3,7 363
TIERCE
3,7,1 1,957
TRIO
1,3,7 250
FIRST 4
1,3,7,8 2,549
QUARTET
3,7,1,8 53,170
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,9/1,3,7 17,538
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 22.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/3 785
4/7 36