Happy Valley · 2022-01-26 · 21:17
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-26 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CIRCUIT BOOMING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with MEGA BONUS second and WIND SPEEDER third. The 3.2 favourite REGENCY STAR finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CIRCUIT BOOMING TT 1.09.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 3.6 | N |
| 2 | 11 | MEGA BONUS XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | 9.2 | N |
| 3 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 1 | 5.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | JAZZ STEED TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 9.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | REGENCY STAR A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 2 | 3.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 7 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | NOBLE BOYZ CP-/SR1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 35.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | SPONTANEOUS B/TT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | VALIANT FORTUNE A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 89.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | BRIGHT KID B/XB H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 3 | 104.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 5 | MAKE IT QUICK B H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 9 | 130.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CIRCUIT BOOMING | 25.9% | 3.86 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | JAZZ STEED | 16.5% | 6.06 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | REGENCY STAR | 14.9% | 6.71 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER | 10.6% | 9.44 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | MEGA BONUS | 9.9% | 10.07 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 7.0% | 14.29 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | SPONTANEOUS | 5.4% | 18.63 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 5.2% | 19.40 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | VALIANT FORTUNE | 2.4% | 42.03 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | NOBLE BOYZ | 1.4% | 71.67 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | BRIGHT KID | 0.8% | 117.85 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 36.5
PLACE
3 19
10 16.5
11 23
QUINELLA
10,11 145
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 51
3,11 97.5
10,11 56
FORECAST
10,11 262
TIERCE
10,11,3 1,400
TRIO
3,10,11 394
FIRST 4
3,4,10,11 535
QUARTET
10,11,3,4 9,433
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
3/10 388
3/11 202