Happy Valley · 2022-01-26 · 19:45
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-26 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOODMANSHIP, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2, with E HONEY second and RAGING BLAZE third. The 3.7 favourite SUNNY AND GOLD finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GOODMANSHIP B2/TT 1.09.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | E HONEY L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 4 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | SUNNY AND GOLD B1/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 2 | 3.7 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | CIGAR BUDDIES B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 12 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | RED BRICK GLORY XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 10 | 55.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | MISSION SMART B/H M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 7.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | VIVA MAMA CP/TT- H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 11 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | TEAM GOODLUCK CP/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 5 | 5.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | BLAZING BEAT B/SR A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 1 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | ABOVE ALL H/XB L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 8 | 38.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | ORIENTAL AMIGO B-/V1 C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 9 | 26.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 19.7% | 5.08 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 17.9% | 5.58 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE | 14.8% | 6.74 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 10.6% | 9.43 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | GOODMANSHIP | 8.9% | 11.23 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | MISSION SMART | 6.3% | 15.77 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | E HONEY | 5.7% | 17.56 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | VIVA MAMA | 4.9% | 20.40 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 3.9% | 25.79 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | RED BRICK GLORY | 3.4% | 29.77 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | BLAZING BEAT | 2.8% | 36.00 | 10 |
| 12 | 1 | ABOVE ALL | 1.1% | 92.08 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 42
PLACE
8 15.5
11 48
12 45.5
QUINELLA
8,11 338
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 105
8,12 118
11,12 324
FORECAST
8,11 786
TIERCE
8,11,12 6,107
TRIO
8,11,12 1,716
FIRST 4
6,8,11,12 949
QUARTET
8,11,12,6 20,373
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
6/8 125
6/11 89.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 23
A1 —