Happy Valley · 2022-01-26 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.40.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 7.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 5 | 7.7 | N |
| 3 | 0 | VILLA FIONN B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 7 | 9.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 2 | 24.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BIG TWO Led early H/SR/XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS XB C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 3.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS V J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 10 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | MISTER ARM B1 V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 3 | 4.9 | 4-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-26 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. V CHEVALIERS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K L Man, won by N, with CHATER PINS second and VILLA FIONN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite AMAZING NEWS finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MISTER ARM | 21.5% | 4.65 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS | 17.6% | 5.69 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS | 10.5% | 9.56 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 10.4% | 9.63 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 9.4% | 10.68 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 9.2% | 10.84 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | BIG TWO | 8.2% | 12.19 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING | 5.8% | 17.29 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 5.3% | 18.80 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 2.2% | 46.11 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 73.5
PLACE
1 26
4 25
9 22.5
QUINELLA
4,9 262.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 85
1,9 111
4,9 82
FORECAST
4,9 549
TIERCE
4,9,1 2,809
TRIO
1,4,9 531
FIRST 4
1,4,6,9 3,332
QUARTET
4,9,1,6 56,707
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 30
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/4 276
8/9 54