Happy Valley · 2022-01-26 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly 1.40.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 15.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 2.7 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | KINDA COOL Closed strongly B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 5 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY CP J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 11 | 2.6 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 7 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | KOWLOON GREAT TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 62.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING TIME CP-/B1/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 6 | 58.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ROYAL CAMPBELL Led early H/CP2/TT- L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 12 | 153.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE Closed strongly M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 9 | 82.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SKY FOREVER B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 8.6 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-26 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LEAP OF FAITH, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Size, won by SH, with MALDIVES second and INVINCIBLE MISSILE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite OSCAR GLORY finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MALDIVES | 29.1% | 3.44 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY | 17.5% | 5.71 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 11.5% | 8.71 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SKY FOREVER | 11.2% | 8.94 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 9.3% | 10.74 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 6.8% | 14.66 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | KINDA COOL | 6.3% | 15.92 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 3.4% | 29.36 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | KOWLOON GREAT | 2.2% | 45.98 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SMILING TIME | 1.2% | 83.10 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE | 0.9% | 112.31 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | ROYAL CAMPBELL | 0.6% | 155.12 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 159.5
PLACE
1 12.5
2 36.5
4 23
QUINELLA
1,2 189
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 62.5
1,4 44
2,4 154.5
FORECAST
2,1 501
TIERCE
2,1,4 2,164
TRIO
1,2,4 312
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 799
QUARTET
2,1,4,3 24,942
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 39
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/1 219.5
7/2 3,885