Happy Valley · 2022-02-16 · 21:16
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B 1.39.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 4 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | LOYAL BABY Closed strongly TT1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | HK DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 7 | 4.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 9 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HERCULES Closed strongly B-/XB/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 8 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MISTER ARM Led early B- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B D Moor · D J Hall | D Moor | D J Hall | 5 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS XB H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 6.3 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 41.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 11.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | JUBILATION V M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 2 | 105.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS CP/H/XB/TT R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 38.0 | 16-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-16 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VILLA FIONN, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with LOYAL BABY second and HK DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite LOYAL BABY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 27.8% | 3.60 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS | 17.5% | 5.72 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | HK DRAGON | 10.6% | 9.45 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 9.2% | 10.81 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 7.7% | 12.97 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 6.9% | 14.53 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | HERCULES | 6.3% | 15.94 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | MISTER ARM | 5.5% | 18.22 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 3.8% | 26.54 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 2.7% | 37.29 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS | 1.6% | 64.49 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | JUBILATION | 0.6% | 175.81 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 110.5
PLACE
1 11.5
4 28.5
9 18
QUINELLA
1,4 116.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 45
1,9 32
4,9 87
FORECAST
4,1 347
TIERCE
4,1,9 1,538
TRIO
1,4,9 193
FIRST 4
1,4,5,9 440
QUARTET
4,1,9,5 13,384
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 32.5
5TH DOUBLE
2/1 162
2/4 2,457