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Happy Valley · 2022-02-16 · 22:53

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course C 10 runners

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-16 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SOULMATE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2-3/4, with STORM LEGEND second and READY PLAYER ONE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.4 favourite GALLANT CROWN finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1.40.06
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 SOULMATE Wire to wire E 1.40.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu 7 3.7 2-3/4
2 8 STORM LEGEND Closed strongly TT- H Bentley · C Fownes 3 6.9 2-3/4
3 9 READY PLAYER ONE Closed strongly CP1/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 10 16.0 3
4 3 LEAP OF FAITH V Borges · J Size 6 10.0 3-1/4
5 11 PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung 1 19.0 3-1/2
6 5 GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard 5 2.4 4
7 7 KING TOURBILLON Closed strongly TT D Moor · Y S Tsui 9 70.0 6-3/4
8 6 KINDA COOL B M Chadwick · F C Lor 4 10.0 6-3/4
9 4 HAPPY ANGEL Closed strongly CP H W Lai · D A Hayes 11 95.0 9
10 10 BARON ZEE B1/TT1 H T Mo · R Gibson 2 47.0 11-1/2
1 BEAR AGAIN SR M F Poon · D J Hall 8 34.0

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SOULMATE2. STORM LEGEND+2.75L3. READY PLAYER ONE+3L4. LEAP OF FAITH+3.25L5. PERFECT MARYKNOLL+3.5L6. GALLANT CROWN+4L7. KING TOURBILLON+6.75L8. KINDA COOL+6.75L9. HAPPY ANGEL+9L10. BARON ZEE+11.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SOULMATE (28.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 SOULMATE 28.7% 3.48 1
2 5 GALLANT CROWN 18.3% 5.47 6
3 6 KINDA COOL 13.9% 7.19 8
4 9 READY PLAYER ONE 10.2% 9.85 3
5 3 LEAP OF FAITH 8.8% 11.30 4
6 11 PERFECT MARYKNOLL 7.9% 12.73 5
7 8 STORM LEGEND 7.8% 12.81 2
8 10 BARON ZEE 2.0% 50.60 10
9 7 KING TOURBILLON 1.8% 56.34 7
10 4 HAPPY ANGEL 0.7% 151.23 9
SOULMATE — wonGALLANT CROWNKINDA COOLREADY PLAYER ONELEAP OF FAITHPERFECT MARYKNOLLSTORM LEGENDBARON ZEEKING TOURBILLONHAPPY ANGEL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 37.5

PLACE

2 14.5

8 20

9 43.5

QUINELLA

2,8 130

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 40.5

2,9 89.5

8,9 141

FORECAST

2,8 299

TIERCE

2,8,9 2,235

TRIO

2,8,9 422

FIRST 4

2,3,8,9 1,093

QUARTET

2,8,9,3 20,531

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A1 14.5

A2

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,7,8,10/2,8,9 7,151

8TH DOUBLE

7/2 347.5

7/8 114

SIX UP

1/2/4/6/7/2 844,863

1,9/2,3/1,4/6,10/2,7,8/2,8 908

1 [Z Purton]

TREBLE

6/7/2 1,232

6/7/8 530