Happy Valley · 2022-02-16 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-16 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BULLETPROOF, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with BIG TWO second and NEARLY FINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BULLETPROOF Closed strongly B 1.40.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 10 | 3.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | BIG TWO Closed strongly H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | NEARLY FINE TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 4.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | PACKING FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 7 | 9.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | SEAWEED FORTUNE V/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 7.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT D Moor · C H Yip | D Moor | C H Yip | 2 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 29.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SPEED FAY FAY B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 5 | 9.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | GO FOR TEA CP1 H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 3 | 8.5 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | CIRCUIT ELITE Led early B/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 6 | 34.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | HANG'S DECISION B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 9 | 33.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | THE MULTIPLIER CP/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 11 | 73.0 | 13-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BULLETPROOF | 19.3% | 5.18 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 15.0% | 6.68 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | NEARLY FINE | 13.4% | 7.44 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | GO FOR TEA | 12.3% | 8.16 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | SPEED FAY FAY | 9.0% | 11.13 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | PACKING FAMOUS | 7.3% | 13.67 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 5.9% | 16.86 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | HANG'S DECISION | 4.9% | 20.48 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | BIG TWO | 3.8% | 26.45 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | THE MULTIPLIER | 3.5% | 28.67 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | FLASH FAMOUS | 2.9% | 34.77 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 2.8% | 36.24 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 33
PLACE
1 16
6 15.5
10 48.5
QUINELLA
6,10 247
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 29.5
1,10 121
6,10 96
FORECAST
6,10 500
TIERCE
6,10,1 2,041
TRIO
1,6,10 390
FIRST 4
1,4,6,10 837
QUARTET
6,10,1,4 16,998
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,9/1,6,10 8,073
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19
6TH DOUBLE
4/6 379.5
4/10 497.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,4/1,4,9/1,6,10 1,759,353
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,4/1,4,9/Any Combination 13,018