Happy Valley · 2022-02-16 · 22:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MERIDIAN GENIUS, ridden by R Maia and trained by A T Millard, won by 3/4, with EASON second and FORTE third. The 1.8 favourite EASON finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MERIDIAN GENIUS 1.10.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 4 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | EASON TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 1.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | FORTE XB/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | ELON E/P V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS CP A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 1 | 8.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | BEAUTY CHAMP XB1/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 8 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | BLISSFUL LIFE TT D Moor · K L Man | D Moor | K L Man | 9 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FARSHAD CP2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 54.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | CALIFORNIA FOREST H/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 2 | 42.0 | 5 |
| — | 2 | BE READY C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | EASON | 28.1% | 3.56 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | FORTE | 14.9% | 6.72 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | ELON | 12.4% | 8.06 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 10.7% | 9.34 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS | 9.4% | 10.61 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 9.0% | 11.16 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | STOCK LEGEND | 7.7% | 13.06 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | CALIFORNIA FOREST | 3.5% | 28.82 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | FARSHAD | 2.8% | 35.65 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | BLISSFUL LIFE | 1.6% | 64.04 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 65.5
PLACE
7 18
8 10.5
10 21.5
QUINELLA
7,8 56
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 24.5
7,10 63.5
8,10 29
FORECAST
7,8 209
TIERCE
7,8,10 891
TRIO
7,8,10 119
FIRST 4
3,7,8,10 179
QUARTET
7,8,10,3 5,344
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 29
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
6/2,8 11
6/7 335