Happy Valley · 2022-04-13 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-13 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. VIVA MAMA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by R Gibson, won by N, with SHANGHAI POWER second and UNIVERSAL CROWN third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VIVA MAMA CP/TT 0.57.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 2 | 2.5 | N |
| 2 | 4 | SHANGHAI POWER B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 3 | 8.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 8 | 5.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | SUNNY AND GOLD TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 7 | 8.6 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | SPLIT OF A SECOND CP C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 41.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | INESTIMABLE TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 6 | 44.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | U W BROTHER B- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 41.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | E HONEY J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 4.3 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | BRAVE POWER B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 1 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | ATHENA R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 12 | 75.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | MULTIPLE STAR H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 10 | 38.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | SUNNY SMILE TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 98.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VIVA MAMA | 36.5% | 2.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | E HONEY | 16.7% | 5.99 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | BRAVE POWER | 9.6% | 10.38 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 8.6% | 11.68 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 8.0% | 12.56 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | SHANGHAI POWER | 7.9% | 12.73 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | INESTIMABLE | 3.0% | 32.79 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | MULTIPLE STAR | 2.9% | 34.58 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 2.4% | 41.04 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | ATHENA | 1.7% | 58.18 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | SUNNY SMILE | 1.4% | 70.80 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | U W BROTHER | 1.3% | 76.74 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 25
PLACE
2 25
4 21
5 13
QUINELLA
4,5 100.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 86
2,5 37.5
4,5 37
FORECAST
5,4 141
TIERCE
5,4,2 590
TRIO
2,4,5 171
FIRST 4
2,4,5,8 300
QUARTET
5,4,2,8 3,461
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/4 30.5
2/5 81.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16
A3 —