Happy Valley · 2022-04-13 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-13 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SEIZING THE MOMENT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by SH, with ROMAN TURBO second and BE READY third. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B 1.09.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 2.3 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | ROMAN TURBO SR-/B1 M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 11 | 35.0 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | BE READY V C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 12 | 20.0 | SH |
| 4 | 4 | FAMILY FOLKS CP-/B1 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 1 | 10.0 | HD |
| 5 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON B1 A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | CALIFORNIA REDWOOD TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | RACING FIGHTER B2/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 3 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | PARTY WARRIOR H/CP1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 5 | 3.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 8 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | PRIDE OF EIGHT L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 7 | 171.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | DECISIVE TWELVE P1/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 2 | 35.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | GLORIOUS STARLIGHT C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 4 | 163.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PARTY WARRIOR | 38.9% | 2.57 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 24.3% | 4.11 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | CALIFORNIA REDWOOD | 12.4% | 8.10 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | BE READY | 7.8% | 12.85 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON | 5.4% | 18.59 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | FAMILY FOLKS | 4.1% | 24.35 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 2.2% | 44.73 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | ROMAN TURBO | 2.2% | 45.67 | 2 |
| 9 | 10 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.2% | 80.69 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 0.7% | 143.34 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | PRIDE OF EIGHT | 0.5% | 216.75 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | GLORIOUS STARLIGHT | 0.4% | 257.68 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 23.5
PLACE
1 42
3 66.5
8 12
QUINELLA
3,8 497.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 415
1,8 81
3,8 140
FORECAST
8,3 654
TIERCE
8,3,1 5,770
TRIO
1,3,8 1,753
FIRST 4
1,3,4,8 2,593
QUARTET
8,3,1,4 37,179
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/3 342.5
5/8 150