Happy Valley · 2022-04-13 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT 1.39.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE Closed strongly XB B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 5.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 7 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 11 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GO FOR TEA Led early K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly CP/SR/XB/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 8.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ICE LEGEND H/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 5 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | VUKAN B/XB M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 30.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | EVER LAUGH B/TT A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 12 | 38.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS B/H/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 33.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 2 | 8.4 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-13 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. NEARLY FINE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with FEARLESS FIRE second and WIN WIN FIGHTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NEARLY FINE | 20.3% | 4.93 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN | 14.4% | 6.93 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 14.4% | 6.94 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 10.6% | 9.42 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 10.5% | 9.52 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | ICE LEGEND | 7.9% | 12.63 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS | 5.3% | 18.99 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | GO FOR TEA | 5.2% | 19.24 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | VUKAN | 3.9% | 25.51 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 3.2% | 30.85 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 2.6% | 38.45 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 1.6% | 62.07 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 41
PLACE
2 18.5
3 17.5
8 33
QUINELLA
2,3 136
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 53.5
2,8 112
3,8 93
FORECAST
3,2 244
TIERCE
3,2,8 2,397
TRIO
2,3,8 476
FIRST 4
2,3,8,11 876
QUARTET
3,2,8,11 16,584
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 23
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/2 74.5
3/3 376.5