Happy Valley · 2022-04-13 · 22:53
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-13 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EASON, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-3/4, with TORONADO PHANTOM second and GLUCK RACER third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EASON TT 1.09.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 12 | 2.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | GLUCK RACER V H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | JOYFUL WIN B K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 3 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | EXCELLENT DADDY CP-/TT- L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 8 | 35.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPER DOBBIN B C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 6 | 44.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | WIND N GRASS TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 11 | 53.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | MERCURIAL H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 5 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 9 | 80.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 2 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 6.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT CP1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 10 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EASON | 40.8% | 2.45 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 15.3% | 6.53 | 10 |
| 3 | 9 | STOCK LEGEND | 10.9% | 9.21 | 11 |
| 4 | 2 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 7.3% | 13.65 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | JOYFUL WIN | 5.9% | 17.08 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | MERCURIAL | 4.9% | 20.26 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | GLUCK RACER | 4.1% | 24.64 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 3.7% | 26.98 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER DOBBIN | 2.6% | 38.56 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 1.6% | 61.13 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | WOOD ON FIRE | 1.5% | 68.00 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | WIND N GRASS | 1.4% | 71.02 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 26
PLACE
2 15.5
4 14
6 49
QUINELLA
2,4 60.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 28.5
2,6 151.5
4,6 120
FORECAST
4,2 105
TIERCE
4,2,6 1,520
TRIO
2,4,6 541
FIRST 4
2,4,5,6 1,307
QUARTET
4,2,6,5 12,817
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,8/2,4,6 72,931
8TH DOUBLE
8/2 14.5
8/4 50.5
SIX UP
2,3/4,7/9,10/1,5/3,8/2,4 6,977
3/7/9/5/8/4 60,846
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
5/8/2 127
5/8/4 444