Happy Valley · 2022-04-13 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-13 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. E LEGEND, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with RED IMPACT second and BABY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite HK DRAGON finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | E LEGEND Closed strongly 1.39.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 3 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | RED IMPACT Closed strongly TT1 C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 1 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | BABY Closed strongly B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 5 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | FAST PACE Closed strongly H/TT1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly V L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 10 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | ELIGERE B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | HK DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 12 | 2.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 38.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH Led early B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 15.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | LAPUTA V/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 8 | 29.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | SOARING TOWER P H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 6 | 31.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 9 | 29.0 | 21-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FAST PACE | 17.0% | 5.87 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | HK DRAGON | 16.5% | 6.07 | 7 |
| 3 | 10 | RED IMPACT | 11.7% | 8.52 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | E LEGEND | 9.8% | 10.22 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 9.4% | 10.64 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | LAPUTA | 6.9% | 14.50 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | BABY | 6.4% | 15.61 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 5.9% | 16.96 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | SMART PATCH | 4.8% | 20.66 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | ELIGERE | 4.3% | 23.41 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | SOARING TOWER | 3.9% | 25.32 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | KYRUS UNICORN | 3.3% | 30.40 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 61.5
PLACE
8 46
9 19.5
10 24.5
QUINELLA
9,10 293
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 144
8,10 185
9,10 82.5
FORECAST
9,10 506
TIERCE
9,10,8 4,524
TRIO
8,9,10 1,124
FIRST 4
1,8,9,10 1,369
QUARTET
9,10,8,1 28,384
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16
5TH DOUBLE
7/9 296.5
7/10 78.5