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Happy Valley · 2022-04-13 · 21:46

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 NOTHING NEW Closed strongly H/P/XB 1.39.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Whyte 12 4.5 N
2 0 AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly P/XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 7 27.0 N
3 0 COPARTNER FIONN Closed strongly C Y Ho · W Y So 3 23.0 1
4 0 BEAUTY GLORY Led early H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 1 2.2 1
5 0 READY PLAYER ONE Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · C W Chang 11 29.0 1-1/2
6 0 LET'S DO IT L Hewitson · D J Hall 5 6.2 2-1/2
7 0 VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B K C Leung · P F Yiu 8 33.0 2-3/4
8 0 GALLANT CROWN B/TT R Maia · A T Millard 10 10.0 2-3/4
9 0 RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson 2 14.0 3
10 0 BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly B V Borges · J Size 9 40.0 4-1/4
11 0 HAPPY DAILY CP/TT M L Yeung · L Ho 6 37.0 4-3/4
12 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR CP/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 4 47.0 5

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-13 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. NOTHING NEW, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with AMAZING ONE PLUS second and COPARTNER FIONN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite BEAUTY GLORY finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. NOTHING NEW—2. AMAZING ONE PLUS+0.05L3. COPARTNER FIONN+1L4. BEAUTY GLORY+1L5. READY PLAYER ONE+1.5L6. LET'S DO IT+2.5L7. VILLA FIONN+2.75L8. GALLANT CROWN+2.75L9. RIGHT HONOURABLE+3L10. BEAUTY NOVA+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick BEAUTY GLORY (29.1%) finished 4th — the winner NOTHING NEW was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BEAUTY GLORY 29.1% 3.44 4
2 0 GALLANT CROWN 10.5% 9.55 8
3 0 NOTHING NEW 9.4% 10.62 1
4 0 COPARTNER FIONN 8.9% 11.22 3
5 0 LET'S DO IT 7.9% 12.65 6
6 0 READY PLAYER ONE 7.3% 13.71 5
7 0 VILLA FIONN 5.6% 17.90 7
8 0 AMAZING ONE PLUS 5.5% 18.18 2
9 0 RIGHT HONOURABLE 5.1% 19.45 9
10 0 BEAUTY NOVA 4.3% 23.13 10
11 0 HAPPY DAILY 4.1% 24.28 11
12 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR 2.3% 44.40 12
BEAUTY GLORYGALLANT CROWNNOTHING NEW — wonCOPARTNER FIONNLET'S DO ITREADY PLAYER ONEVILLA FIONNAMAZING ONE PLUSRIGHT HONOURABLEBEAUTY NOVAHAPPY DAILYHELENE WISDOM STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 45

PLACE

1 43

5 18

7 52.5

QUINELLA

1,5 400

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 120.5

1,7 426

5,7 143.5

FORECAST

5,1 771

TIERCE

5,1,7 7,916

TRIO

1,5,7 2,046

FIRST 4

1,4,5,7 1,190

QUARTET

5,1,7,4 46,637

All pools (5 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

8,9,10/1,5,7 868,754

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 15

6TH DOUBLE

9/1 239.5

9/5 359.5

TRIPLE TRIO

4,7,11/8,9,10/1,5,7 1,719,715

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,7,11/8,9,10/Any Combination 6,471