Happy Valley · 2022-04-13 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-13 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. NOTHING NEW, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with AMAZING ONE PLUS second and COPARTNER FIONN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite BEAUTY GLORY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NOTHING NEW Closed strongly H/P/XB 1.39.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 12 | 4.5 | N |
| 2 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly P/XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 27.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | COPARTNER FIONN Closed strongly C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 3 | 23.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY Led early H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.2 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | READY PLAYER ONE Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 11 | 29.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | LET'S DO IT L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 5 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 33.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 10 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 2 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly B V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 40.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | HAPPY DAILY CP/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 6 | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | HELENE WISDOM STAR CP/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 4 | 47.0 | 5 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY | 29.1% | 3.44 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | GALLANT CROWN | 10.5% | 9.55 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | NOTHING NEW | 9.4% | 10.62 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | COPARTNER FIONN | 8.9% | 11.22 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | LET'S DO IT | 7.9% | 12.65 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | READY PLAYER ONE | 7.3% | 13.71 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | VILLA FIONN | 5.6% | 17.90 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 5.5% | 18.18 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 5.1% | 19.45 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | BEAUTY NOVA | 4.3% | 23.13 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.1% | 24.28 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 2.3% | 44.40 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 45
PLACE
1 43
5 18
7 52.5
QUINELLA
1,5 400
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 120.5
1,7 426
5,7 143.5
FORECAST
5,1 771
TIERCE
5,1,7 7,916
TRIO
1,5,7 2,046
FIRST 4
1,4,5,7 1,190
QUARTET
5,1,7,4 46,637
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,10/1,5,7 868,754
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 15
6TH DOUBLE
9/1 239.5
9/5 359.5
TRIPLE TRIO
4,7,11/8,9,10/1,5,7 1,719,715
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,7,11/8,9,10/Any Combination 6,471