Sha Tin · 2022-05-07 · 13:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-07 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPER FORTUNE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with EIGHT TRIGRAMS second and RED TITAN third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE H1/TT 1.09.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | RED TITAN E/TT1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | FORTE XB/TT V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 6 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 42.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER TT1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 7.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | FIVE ELEMENTS B B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 1 | 2.7 | 13-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPREME SUPREME B1 R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 3 | 92.0 | 92 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE | 34.4% | 2.91 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | FIVE ELEMENTS | 25.7% | 3.90 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 16.7% | 5.99 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 8.4% | 11.88 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | RED TITAN | 6.4% | 15.55 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | FORTE | 6.3% | 15.98 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 1.4% | 71.52 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPREME SUPREME | 0.8% | 129.94 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 20.5
PLACE
2 10.1
3 33.5
6 31
QUINELLA
2,6 156.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 47.5
2,6 42
3,6 209
FORECAST
2,6 253
TIERCE
2,6,3 1,912
TRIO
2,3,6 331
FIRST 4
2,3,6,8 670
QUARTET
2,6,3,8 10,218
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 11.5
A3 —
A2 —