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Sha Tin · 2022-05-07 · 13:31

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1600m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.28
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 VUKAN Closed strongly B/XB 1.35.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 14 13.0 1/2
2 0 DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 9 9.5 1/2
3 0 GORGEOUS INHERITOR Closed strongly M F Poon · C H Yip 4 27.0 3
4 0 FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · C H Yip 1 14.0 3-1/4
5 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V M Chadwick · P F Yiu 12 16.0 3-1/4
6 0 JOY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT K H Chan · W Y So 2 24.0 3-1/2
7 0 MISTER MONTE CP-/B2 H T Mo · C W Chang 7 21.0 3-1/2
8 0 GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B2/TT B Shinn · K W Lui 8 5.5 3-3/4
9 0 WAH MAY LUCK B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 6 11.0 5-1/4
10 0 JUBILATION Closed strongly V K Teetan · L Ho 13 62.0 6-1/4
11 0 ANONYMA Led early XB/TT V Borges · A T Millard 11 44.0 10-1/4
12 0 INCREDIBLE TT H Bentley · T P Yung 5 5.4 16-1/2
13 0 MOON PEAKS B/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui 10 34.0 17-1/2
14 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT B2 Z Purton · Y S Tsui 3 3.8 21-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-07 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. VUKAN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1/2, with DAILY BEAUTY second and GORGEOUS INHERITOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite SEIZE THE SPIRIT finished 14th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VUKAN—2. DAILY BEAUTY+0.5L3. GORGEOUS INHERITOR+3L4. FLASH FAMOUS+3.25L5. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE+3.25L6. JOY MASTER+3.5L7. MISTER MONTE+3.5L8. GO GO SIXTEEN+3.75L9. WAH MAY LUCK+5.25L10. JUBILATION+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SEIZE THE SPIRIT (24.5%) finished 14th — the winner VUKAN was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT 24.5% 4.07 14
2 0 DAILY BEAUTY 23.3% 4.29 2
3 0 GO GO SIXTEEN 11.1% 9.02 8
4 0 WAH MAY LUCK 6.0% 16.67 9
5 0 FLASH FAMOUS 5.5% 18.05 4
6 0 INCREDIBLE 5.3% 18.78 12
7 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 4.9% 20.52 5
8 0 VUKAN 4.8% 21.04 1
9 0 GORGEOUS INHERITOR 3.1% 31.96 3
10 0 MOON PEAKS 3.0% 33.87 13
11 0 JOY MASTER 2.4% 40.82 6
12 0 JUBILATION 2.4% 42.55 10
13 0 MISTER MONTE 1.9% 51.68 7
14 0 ANONYMA 1.7% 58.25 11
SEIZE THE SPIRITDAILY BEAUTYGO GO SIXTEENWAH MAY LUCKFLASH FAMOUSINCREDIBLEWINWIN THIRTYTHREEVUKAN — wonGORGEOUS INHERITORMOON PEAKSJOY MASTERJUBILATIONMISTER MONTEANONYMA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 133

PLACE

1 43.5

10 26.5

13 65

QUINELLA

1,10 700.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,10 202.5

1,13 513.5

10,13 301

FORECAST

1,10 1,071

TIERCE

1,10,13 27,405

TRIO

1,10,13 4,985

FIRST 4

1,7,10,13 10,558

QUARTET

1,10,13,7 246,331

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

2/1 304

2/10 44.5

3 PICK 1

A3 25.5

A1 —

A2 —