Sha Tin · 2022-05-07 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-07 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. VUKAN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1/2, with DAILY BEAUTY second and GORGEOUS INHERITOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite SEIZE THE SPIRIT finished 14th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VUKAN Closed strongly B/XB 1.35.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 9.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR Closed strongly M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 4 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 1 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 2 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | MISTER MONTE CP-/B2 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 7 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B2/TT B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 8 | 5.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | JUBILATION Closed strongly V K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 13 | 62.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | ANONYMA Led early XB/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 11 | 44.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | INCREDIBLE TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 5 | 5.4 | 16-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | MOON PEAKS B/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 34.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT B2 Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 3 | 3.8 | 21-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 24.5% | 4.07 | 14 |
| 2 | 10 | DAILY BEAUTY | 23.3% | 4.29 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 11.1% | 9.02 | 8 |
| 4 | 12 | WAH MAY LUCK | 6.0% | 16.67 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | FLASH FAMOUS | 5.5% | 18.05 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | INCREDIBLE | 5.3% | 18.78 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 4.9% | 20.52 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | VUKAN | 4.8% | 21.04 | 1 |
| 9 | 13 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 3.1% | 31.96 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | MOON PEAKS | 3.0% | 33.87 | 13 |
| 11 | 9 | JOY MASTER | 2.4% | 40.82 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | JUBILATION | 2.4% | 42.55 | 10 |
| 13 | 3 | MISTER MONTE | 1.9% | 51.68 | 7 |
| 14 | 14 | ANONYMA | 1.7% | 58.25 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 133
PLACE
1 43.5
10 26.5
13 65
QUINELLA
1,10 700.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 202.5
1,13 513.5
10,13 301
FORECAST
1,10 1,071
TIERCE
1,10,13 27,405
TRIO
1,10,13 4,985
FIRST 4
1,7,10,13 10,558
QUARTET
1,10,13,7 246,331
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/1 304
2/10 44.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 25.5