Sha Tin · 2022-05-07 · 17:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON FORTUNE Closed strongly TT 1.22.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 8.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 6 | 41.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 1 | 9.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | THE ANOMALY V1 M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 4 | 8.4 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY Led early CP J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 11 | 4.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | COPARTNER AMBITION CP/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 3.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | THE HULK Closed strongly B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 2 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER DYNAMITE C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DECRYPT TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 7 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 10 | 89.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-07 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON FORTUNE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with KA YING EXCELLENT second and STORM LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite COPARTNER AMBITION finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 29.7% | 3.36 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | THE ANOMALY | 13.0% | 7.70 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY | 12.7% | 7.86 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 9.9% | 10.10 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | STORM LEGEND | 8.5% | 11.72 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 7.0% | 14.24 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | THE HULK | 6.8% | 14.71 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 5.4% | 18.57 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | DECRYPT | 3.9% | 25.39 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 2.6% | 38.92 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON | 0.4% | 241.00 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 82
PLACE
5 29.5
8 26
10 98
QUINELLA
8,10 1,678
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 126
5,10 637
8,10 460
FORECAST
8,10 2,691
TIERCE
8,10,5 22,560
TRIO
5,8,10 5,128
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 5,777
QUARTET
8,10,5,9 151,741
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 22
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/5,8,10 756,741
9TH DOUBLE
3/8 191.5
3/10 136.5
SIX UP
1,9/1,2/6,10/4,8/3,7/8,10 105,177
3 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
8/3/8 1,277
8/3/10 1,002