Sha Tin · 2022-05-07 · 17:48
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-07 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON FORTUNE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with KA YING EXCELLENT second and STORM LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite COPARTNER AMBITION finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DRAGON FORTUNE Closed strongly TT 1.22.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 8.2 | N |
| 2 | 10 | KA YING EXCELLENT Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 6 | 41.0 | N |
| 3 | 5 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 1 | 9.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | THE ANOMALY V1 M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 4 | 8.4 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | OSCAR GLORY Led early CP J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 11 | 4.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION CP/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 3.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | THE HULK Closed strongly B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 2 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPER DYNAMITE C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | DECRYPT TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 7 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 10 | 89.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 29.7% | 3.36 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | THE ANOMALY | 13.0% | 7.70 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | OSCAR GLORY | 12.7% | 7.86 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 9.9% | 10.10 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | STORM LEGEND | 8.5% | 11.72 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 7.0% | 14.24 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | THE HULK | 6.8% | 14.71 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 5.4% | 18.57 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | DECRYPT | 3.9% | 25.39 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 2.6% | 38.92 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON | 0.4% | 241.00 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 82
PLACE
5 29.5
8 26
10 98
QUINELLA
8,10 1,678
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 126
5,10 637
8,10 460
FORECAST
8,10 2,691
TIERCE
8,10,5 22,560
TRIO
5,8,10 5,128
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 5,777
QUARTET
8,10,5,9 151,741
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 22
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/5,8,10 756,741
9TH DOUBLE
3/8 191.5
3/10 136.5
SIX UP
1,9/1,2/6,10/4,8/3,7/8,10 105,177
3 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
8/3/8 1,277
8/3/10 1,002