Sha Tin · 2022-05-07 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND Closed strongly CP/TT 1.21.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 7 | 11.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly H1/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 4 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | WINNER METHOD Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO Closed strongly CP C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 6 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS B V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT Led early CP/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 2 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN CP/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.4 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-07 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOOD LUCK FRIEND, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with THE GOLDEN SCENERY second and WINNER METHOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite IMA SINGLE MAN finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 26.5% | 3.77 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 16.3% | 6.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 14.9% | 6.69 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS | 13.1% | 7.64 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 11.3% | 8.84 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNER METHOD | 10.9% | 9.17 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO | 4.1% | 24.64 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE | 2.9% | 34.69 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 110
PLACE
4 23.5
6 27
8 14.5
QUINELLA
4,6 423.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 103
4,8 42.5
6,8 59
FORECAST
6,4 871
TIERCE
6,4,8 3,199
TRIO
4,6,8 421
FIRST 4
4,5,6,8 726
QUARTET
6,4,8,5 20,697
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/4 205
1/6 1,274
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 22.5