Sha Tin · 2022-05-07 · 17:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-07 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ERIMO, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by HD, with SUPER RED DRAGON second and RAINBOW LIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ERIMO Closed strongly H/B1 1.22.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 2.0 | HD |
| 2 | 7 | SUPER RED DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 28.0 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly CP-/SR-/XB-/B1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 8.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 4.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | APEX TOP Led early B M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 14 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | LORIZ M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 8 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | DUBLIN STAR Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | LEISURE AND GOLD Closed strongly H1 V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 10 | 172.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | BALLISTIC MAN SR-/CP1/H1/TT R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 6 | 125.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | GREAT TREASURE H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 26.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | TRUST ME B/H K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 13 | 37.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 6 | MANY WINS B A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 12 | 212.0 | 17-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ERIMO | 42.0% | 2.38 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 23.4% | 4.28 | 5 |
| 3 | 13 | APEX TOP | 7.9% | 12.65 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 5.2% | 19.23 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | LORIZ | 5.1% | 19.64 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 4.3% | 23.12 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 3.8% | 26.52 | 2 |
| 8 | 14 | GREAT TREASURE | 2.1% | 47.84 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | CITY LEGEND | 2.1% | 47.90 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | DUBLIN STAR | 1.3% | 76.45 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | TRUST ME | 1.2% | 85.00 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | BALLISTIC MAN | 0.6% | 154.63 | 11 |
| 13 | 10 | LEISURE AND GOLD | 0.6% | 176.43 | 10 |
| 14 | 6 | MANY WINS | 0.5% | 209.81 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 20.5
PLACE
3 11
4 29.5
7 52
QUINELLA
3,7 232
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 54
3,7 85
4,7 299.5
FORECAST
3,7 278
TIERCE
3,7,4 2,149
TRIO
3,4,7 552
FIRST 4
3,4,7,11 846
QUARTET
3,7,4,11 11,354
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
8/3 138.5
8/7 252.5