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Sha Tin · 2022-05-07 · 17:13

Race 9

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ERIMO Closed strongly H/B1 1.22.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size 2 2.0 HD
2 0 SUPER RED DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 9 28.0 HD
3 0 RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly CP-/SR-/XB-/B1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 7 17.0 2
4 0 SUPER HIGHWAY Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor 3 8.2 2-1/4
5 0 RED BRICK FIGHTER B Z Purton · D J Hall 5 4.6 2-1/4
6 0 APEX TOP Led early B M Chadwick · A T Millard 14 11.0 3
7 0 LORIZ M F Poon · P F Yiu 4 16.0 3-3/4
8 0 CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung 8 31.0 4
9 0 DUBLIN STAR Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K L Man 11 34.0 5
10 0 LEISURE AND GOLD Closed strongly H1 V Borges · C H Yip 10 172.0 8-3/4
11 0 BALLISTIC MAN SR-/CP1/H1/TT R Maia · K H Ting 6 125.0 9
12 0 GREAT TREASURE H T Mo · Y S Tsui 1 26.0 10-3/4
13 0 TRUST ME B/H K H Chan · C H Yip 13 37.0 11
14 0 MANY WINS B A Hamelin · K W Lui 12 212.0 17-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-07 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ERIMO, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by HD, with SUPER RED DRAGON second and RAINBOW LIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ERIMO—2. SUPER RED DRAGON+0.2L3. RAINBOW LIGHT+2L4. SUPER HIGHWAY+2.25L5. RED BRICK FIGHTER+2.25L6. APEX TOP+3L7. LORIZ+3.75L8. CITY LEGEND+4L9. DUBLIN STAR+5L10. LEISURE AND GOLD+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick ERIMO (42.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ERIMO 42.0% 2.38 1
2 0 RED BRICK FIGHTER 23.4% 4.28 5
3 0 APEX TOP 7.9% 12.65 6
4 0 SUPER HIGHWAY 5.2% 19.23 4
5 0 LORIZ 5.1% 19.64 7
6 0 RAINBOW LIGHT 4.3% 23.12 3
7 0 SUPER RED DRAGON 3.8% 26.52 2
8 0 GREAT TREASURE 2.1% 47.84 12
9 0 CITY LEGEND 2.1% 47.90 8
10 0 DUBLIN STAR 1.3% 76.45 9
11 0 TRUST ME 1.2% 85.00 13
12 0 BALLISTIC MAN 0.6% 154.63 11
13 0 LEISURE AND GOLD 0.6% 176.43 10
14 0 MANY WINS 0.5% 209.81 14
ERIMO — wonRED BRICK FIGHTERAPEX TOPSUPER HIGHWAYLORIZRAINBOW LIGHTSUPER RED DRAGONGREAT TREASURECITY LEGENDDUBLIN STARTRUST MEBALLISTIC MANLEISURE AND GOLDMANY WINS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 20.5

PLACE

3 11

4 29.5

7 52

QUINELLA

3,7 232

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 54

3,7 85

4,7 299.5

FORECAST

3,7 278

TIERCE

3,7,4 2,149

TRIO

3,4,7 552

FIRST 4

3,4,7,11 846

QUARTET

3,7,4,11 11,354

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 14

A2 —

A3 —

8TH DOUBLE

8/3 138.5

8/7 252.5