Sha Tin · 2022-05-07 · 16:07
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-07 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. POWER KOEPP, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by NOSE, with SEVEN HEAVENS second and METRO WARRIOR third. The 2.1 favourite RUN RUN COOL finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | POWER KOEPP E 0.55.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 5.5 | NOSE |
| 2 | 6 | SEVEN HEAVENS TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 10 | 18.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR B C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | RUN RUN COOL PC Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | PING HAI GALAXY V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 49.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 1 | 6.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | ALCARI K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 2 | 76.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | CALIFORNIA FOREST H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 3 | 58.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | JUMBO GOAL L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 9 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RUN RUN COOL | 31.4% | 3.19 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | ALCARI | 18.8% | 5.32 | 7 |
| 3 | 10 | POWER KOEPP | 15.8% | 6.33 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 14.9% | 6.72 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR | 8.1% | 12.39 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | PING HAI GALAXY | 3.0% | 33.87 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 2.8% | 36.03 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | CALIFORNIA FOREST | 2.4% | 40.93 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | JUMBO GOAL | 1.5% | 66.10 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 1.4% | 73.51 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 55.5
PLACE
1 26.5
6 41
10 17
QUINELLA
6,10 437.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 170
1,10 73
6,10 107.5
FORECAST
10,6 572
TIERCE
10,6,1 4,357
TRIO
1,6,10 1,040
FIRST 4
1,2,6,10 421
QUARTET
10,6,1,2 14,371
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/1,6,10 108,273
3 PICK 1
A2 27.5
A3 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/6 889
2/10 2,120.5