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Sha Tin · 2022-05-07 · 16:07

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1000m Course C 9 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 SEVEN HEAVENS TT B Shinn · C Fownes 10 18.0 NOSE
3 0 METRO WARRIOR B C Y Ho · D A Hayes 6 9.9 1/2
4 0 RUN RUN COOL PC Z Purton · F C Lor 5 2.1 3/4
5 0 PING HAI GALAXY V Borges · J Size 7 49.0 1
6 0 SUMMIT CHEERS TT L Currie · D J Hall 1 6.8 1-1/2
7 0 ALCARI K Teetan · P F Yiu 4 7.6 1-3/4
8 0 HIGH RISE SOLDIER BR/PC A Hamelin · K W Lui 2 76.0 2
9 0 CALIFORNIA FOREST H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 3 58.0 2-1/4
10 0 JUMBO GOAL L Hewitson · C Fownes 9 11.0 4-3/4
— 0 POWER KOEPP E J Moreira · J Size — 5.5 NOSE

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-07 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SEVEN HEAVENS, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C Fownes, won by NOSE, with METRO WARRIOR second and RUN RUN COOL third. The 2.1 favourite RUN RUN COOL finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. SEVEN HEAVENS+0.05L3. METRO WARRIOR+0.5L4. RUN RUN COOL+0.75L5. PING HAI GALAXY+1L6. SUMMIT CHEERS+1.5L7. ALCARI+1.75L8. HIGH RISE SOLDIER+2L9. CALIFORNIA FOREST+2.25L10. JUMBO GOAL+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 RUN RUN COOL 31.4% 3.19 4
2 0 ALCARI 18.8% 5.32 7
3 0 POWER KOEPP 15.8% 6.33 —
4 0 SUMMIT CHEERS 14.9% 6.72 6
5 0 METRO WARRIOR 8.1% 12.39 3
6 0 PING HAI GALAXY 3.0% 33.87 5
7 0 HIGH RISE SOLDIER 2.8% 36.03 8
8 0 CALIFORNIA FOREST 2.4% 40.93 9
9 0 JUMBO GOAL 1.5% 66.10 10
10 0 SEVEN HEAVENS 1.4% 73.51 2
RUN RUN COOLALCARIPOWER KOEPPSUMMIT CHEERSMETRO WARRIORPING HAI GALAXYHIGH RISE SOLDIERCALIFORNIA FORESTJUMBO GOALSEVEN HEAVENS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 55.5

PLACE

1 26.5

6 41

10 17

QUINELLA

6,10 437.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 170

1,10 73

6,10 107.5

FORECAST

10,6 572

TIERCE

10,6,1 4,357

TRIO

1,6,10 1,040

FIRST 4

1,2,6,10 421

QUARTET

10,6,1,2 14,371

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,4/1,6,10 108,273

3 PICK 1

A2 27.5

A3 —

A1 —

6TH DOUBLE

2/6 889

2/10 2,120.5