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Sha Tin · 2022-05-07 · 16:38

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course C 10 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-07 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LOOKING COOL, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with COPARTNER ELITES second and MR ASCENDENCY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite COPARTNER ELITES finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.34.26
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 LOOKING COOL Closed strongly PC 1.34.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor 6 5.6 SH
2 4 COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 7 3.9 SH
3 3 MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly B- Z Purton · P F Yiu 9 4.6 3-1/4
4 9 LET'S DO IT H T Mo · D J Hall 2 11.0 3-1/2
5 6 PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 1 18.0 4-1/4
6 1 BOURBONAIRE Closed strongly H V Borges · J Size 5 7.4 4-1/2
7 2 ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly B/XB/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 8 8.0 5-1/2
8 10 MILLENNIUM FALCON Led early H M F Poon · T P Yung 4 12.0 5-1/2
9 5 GALLANT CROWN B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard 3 25.0 8-1/4
10 7 BOOM ALLIANCE SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 10 22.0 12

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LOOKING COOL2. COPARTNER ELITES+0.1L3. MR ASCENDENCY+3.25L4. LET'S DO IT+3.5L5. PARTY EVERYDAY+4.25L6. BOURBONAIRE+4.5L7. ROCKET SPADE+5.5L8. MILLENNIUM FALCON+5.5L9. GALLANT CROWN+8.25L10. BOOM ALLIANCE+12L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick LOOKING COOL (25.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 LOOKING COOL 25.6% 3.91 1
2 2 ROCKET SPADE 12.5% 8.00 7
3 4 COPARTNER ELITES 11.6% 8.61 2
4 9 LET'S DO IT 11.6% 8.61 4
5 6 PARTY EVERYDAY 10.0% 10.02 5
6 5 GALLANT CROWN 7.5% 13.42 9
7 10 MILLENNIUM FALCON 6.6% 15.13 8
8 3 MR ASCENDENCY 6.3% 15.87 3
9 1 BOURBONAIRE 4.3% 23.29 6
10 7 BOOM ALLIANCE 4.0% 24.77 10
LOOKING COOL — wonROCKET SPADECOPARTNER ELITESLET'S DO ITPARTY EVERYDAYGALLANT CROWNMILLENNIUM FALCONMR ASCENDENCYBOURBONAIREBOOM ALLIANCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 56

PLACE

3 19.5

4 14.5

8 21

QUINELLA

4,8 108.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 42.5

3,8 59.5

4,8 46

FORECAST

8,4 283

TIERCE

8,4,3 1,503

TRIO

3,4,8 200

FIRST 4

3,4,8,9 396

QUARTET

8,4,3,9 9,200

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1

A2 19

A3

7TH DOUBLE

10/4 40.5

10/8 371