Sha Tin · 2022-05-07 · 15:03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B/TT 1.48.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 6 | 6.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY Closed strongly H B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 4 | 32.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | TOYCOON CP H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 7 | 29.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B-/CP1 Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 14 | 3.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB/H1 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Led early TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 5 | 9.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DAILY CHARM Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 10 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | EEVEE B/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BARON ZEE CP/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 3 | 71.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MAKE IT TURBO B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 11 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART PC-/CP2/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON B M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 8 | 8.5 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 83.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | — | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-07 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. RED ELYSEES, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K L Man, won by 1, with BORN THE SAME DAY second and TOYCOON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite RIGHT AS RAIN finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 19.4% | 5.14 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 14.5% | 6.90 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 13.9% | 7.18 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 9.1% | 10.95 | — |
| 5 | 0 | EEVEE | 7.2% | 13.83 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART | 7.2% | 13.94 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 7.1% | 14.01 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | TOYCOON | 6.6% | 15.22 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 4.8% | 20.86 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 4.3% | 23.00 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | MAKE IT TURBO | 2.6% | 39.06 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | BARON ZEE | 1.2% | 84.21 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 1.0% | 98.89 | 2 |
| 14 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 1.0% | 101.14 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 65.5
PLACE
1 90
3 66.5
9 21.5
QUINELLA
1,9 1,097.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 1,034.5
1,9 367.5
3,9 270
FORECAST
9,1 1,663
TIERCE
9,1,3 45,528
TRIO
1,3,9 9,028
FIRST 4
1,3,7,9 6,202
QUARTET
9,1,3,7 180,953
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 28
A1 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/1 571.5
1/9 1,488.5