Happy Valley · 2022-05-25 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-25 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GRAND POWER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/4, with WAH MAY LUCK second and SMART COUSIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite LOYAL AMBITION finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GRAND POWER Closed strongly B2 1.50.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 8 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | WAH MAY LUCK Led early B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | SMART COUSIN Closed strongly B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 12 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 8.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | PRIME STAR Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 7 | 6.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 9.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | LOYAL AMBITION H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 3.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | ORIENTAL AMIGO B/SR H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 36.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | A A AGILITY Closed strongly B2/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 9 | 84.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS B R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 10 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | FOXHUNTER WAY H/SR Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 5 | 6.7 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | INCREDIBLE TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 11 | 31.0 | 29-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GREAT TIMES L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LOYAL AMBITION | 28.4% | 3.53 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 19.6% | 5.11 | 11 |
| 3 | 4 | DIAMOND STAR | 10.6% | 9.45 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | PRIME STAR | 10.2% | 9.79 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | OWNERS' STAR | 7.0% | 14.22 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | WAH MAY LUCK | 6.9% | 14.47 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | GRAND POWER | 4.1% | 24.58 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 3.8% | 26.08 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 3.1% | 32.62 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | INCREDIBLE | 2.8% | 35.42 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | SMART COUSIN | 1.9% | 53.71 | 3 |
| 12 | 8 | A A AGILITY | 1.7% | 59.44 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 204.5
PLACE
7 41
9 22.5
10 58.5
QUINELLA
9,10 760
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 190
7,10 315.5
9,10 241
FORECAST
10,9 1,731
TIERCE
10,9,7 18,784
TRIO
7,9,10 3,537
FIRST 4
6,7,9,10 5,206
QUARTET
10,9,7,6 170,109
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/9 183
6/10 2,132.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 25.5
A2 —