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Happy Valley · 2022-05-25 · 19:16

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1800m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.50.36
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GRAND POWER Closed strongly B2 1.50.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C W Chang 8 20.0 1-1/4
2 0 WAH MAY LUCK Led early B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 6 6.9 1-1/4
3 0 SMART COUSIN Closed strongly B Shinn · C H Yip 12 13.0 2-1/4
4 0 OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So 1 8.6 2-3/4
5 0 PRIME STAR Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard 7 6.1 3
6 0 DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT V Borges · J Size 3 9.2 3-1/2
7 0 LOYAL AMBITION H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 4 3.6 4-1/4
8 0 ORIENTAL AMIGO B/SR H T Mo · Y S Tsui 2 36.0 4-3/4
9 0 A A AGILITY Closed strongly B2/TT M F Poon · L Ho 9 84.0 5-3/4
10 0 SUCCESS ALLSTARS B R Maia · R Gibson 10 18.0 5-3/4
11 0 FOXHUNTER WAY H/SR Z Purton · K W Lui 5 6.7 8-1/2
12 0 INCREDIBLE TT H Bentley · T P Yung 11 31.0 29-1/2
— 0 GREAT TIMES L Hewitson · D J Hall — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-25 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GRAND POWER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/4, with WAH MAY LUCK second and SMART COUSIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite LOYAL AMBITION finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GRAND POWER—2. WAH MAY LUCK+1.25L3. SMART COUSIN+2.25L4. OWNERS' STAR+2.75L5. PRIME STAR+3L6. DIAMOND STAR+3.5L7. LOYAL AMBITION+4.25L8. ORIENTAL AMIGO+4.75L9. A A AGILITY+5.75L10. SUCCESS ALLSTARS+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick LOYAL AMBITION (28.4%) finished 7th — the winner GRAND POWER was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LOYAL AMBITION 28.4% 3.53 7
2 0 FOXHUNTER WAY 19.6% 5.11 11
3 0 DIAMOND STAR 10.6% 9.45 6
4 0 PRIME STAR 10.2% 9.79 5
5 0 OWNERS' STAR 7.0% 14.22 4
6 0 WAH MAY LUCK 6.9% 14.47 2
7 0 GRAND POWER 4.1% 24.58 1
8 0 SUCCESS ALLSTARS 3.8% 26.08 10
9 0 ORIENTAL AMIGO 3.1% 32.62 8
10 0 INCREDIBLE 2.8% 35.42 12
11 0 SMART COUSIN 1.9% 53.71 3
12 0 A A AGILITY 1.7% 59.44 9
LOYAL AMBITIONFOXHUNTER WAYDIAMOND STARPRIME STAROWNERS' STARWAH MAY LUCKGRAND POWER — wonSUCCESS ALLSTARSORIENTAL AMIGOINCREDIBLESMART COUSINA A AGILITY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 204.5

PLACE

7 41

9 22.5

10 58.5

QUINELLA

9,10 760

QUINELLA PLACE

7,9 190

7,10 315.5

9,10 241

FORECAST

10,9 1,731

TIERCE

10,9,7 18,784

TRIO

7,9,10 3,537

FIRST 4

6,7,9,10 5,206

QUARTET

10,9,7,6 170,109

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

6/9 183

6/10 2,132.5

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 25.5

A1 —