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Happy Valley · 2022-05-25 · 21:16

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C 11 runners

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-25 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RED BRICK FIGHTER, ridden by L Currie and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/2, with FEARLESS FIRE second and SUPER HORNET third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite AI ONE finished 11th.

Result

Official · 1.40.23
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 RED BRICK FIGHTER Closed strongly B 1.40.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · D J Hall 2 6.0 1-1/2
2 1 FEARLESS FIRE XB B Shinn · D A Hayes 10 7.2 1-1/2
3 9 SUPER HORNET Led early B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 6 13.0 2-1/4
4 10 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly H-/CP/XB A Badel · D J Hall 1 10.0 2-1/4
5 5 REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum 9 9.8 3-1/4
6 11 GO FOR TEA Closed strongly K Teetan · F C Lor 11 8.3 3-3/4
7 6 BARON ZEE Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT R Maia · R Gibson 8 46.0 3-3/4
8 4 OUR CLASS ACT K C Leung · Y S Tsui 4 32.0 4-1/4
9 7 KING DRAGON V C Y Ho · K L Man 5 7.4 5-1/4
10 2 UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT H Bentley · K W Lui 7 36.0 7-1/2
11 3 AI ONE Z Purton · K H Ting 3 3.3 11-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RED BRICK FIGHTER2. FEARLESS FIRE+1.5L3. SUPER HORNET+2.25L4. YEE CHEONG WARRIOR+2.25L5. REGENCY MASTER+3.25L6. GO FOR TEA+3.75L7. BARON ZEE+3.75L8. OUR CLASS ACT+4.25L9. KING DRAGON+5.25L10. UNIVERSAL GO GO+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick AI ONE (20.4%) finished 11th — the winner RED BRICK FIGHTER was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 AI ONE 20.4% 4.90 11
2 5 REGENCY MASTER 18.9% 5.28 5
3 8 RED BRICK FIGHTER 13.6% 7.35 1
4 11 GO FOR TEA 13.4% 7.48 6
5 1 FEARLESS FIRE 7.5% 13.25 2
6 7 KING DRAGON 6.7% 14.87 9
7 10 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR 5.9% 16.88 4
8 4 OUR CLASS ACT 4.5% 22.34 8
9 9 SUPER HORNET 4.4% 22.57 3
10 2 UNIVERSAL GO GO 3.1% 31.92 10
11 6 BARON ZEE 1.5% 67.77 7
AI ONEREGENCY MASTERRED BRICK FIGHTER — wonGO FOR TEAFEARLESS FIREKING DRAGONYEE CHEONG WARRIOROUR CLASS ACTSUPER HORNETUNIVERSAL GO GOBARON ZEE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 60

PLACE

1 23.5

8 21.5

9 42

QUINELLA

1,8 193

QUINELLA PLACE

1,8 68.5

1,9 134

8,9 138

FORECAST

8,1 433

TIERCE

8,1,9 3,187

TRIO

1,8,9 801

FIRST 4

1,8,9,10 1,286

QUARTET

8,1,9,10 26,647

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 21.5

A2

A1

5TH DOUBLE

11/1 48.5

11/8 359.5