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Happy Valley · 2022-05-25 · 21:16

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.23
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 RED BRICK FIGHTER Closed strongly B 1.40.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · D J Hall 2 6.0 1-1/2
2 0 FEARLESS FIRE XB B Shinn · D A Hayes 10 7.2 1-1/2
3 0 SUPER HORNET Led early B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 6 13.0 2-1/4
4 0 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly H-/CP/XB A Badel · D J Hall 1 10.0 2-1/4
5 0 REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum 9 9.8 3-1/4
6 0 GO FOR TEA Closed strongly K Teetan · F C Lor 11 8.3 3-3/4
7 0 BARON ZEE Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT R Maia · R Gibson 8 46.0 3-3/4
8 0 OUR CLASS ACT K C Leung · Y S Tsui 4 32.0 4-1/4
9 0 KING DRAGON V C Y Ho · K L Man 5 7.4 5-1/4
10 0 UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT H Bentley · K W Lui 7 36.0 7-1/2
11 0 AI ONE Z Purton · K H Ting 3 3.3 11-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-25 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RED BRICK FIGHTER, ridden by L Currie and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/2, with FEARLESS FIRE second and SUPER HORNET third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite AI ONE finished 11th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RED BRICK FIGHTER—2. FEARLESS FIRE+1.5L3. SUPER HORNET+2.25L4. YEE CHEONG WARRIOR+2.25L5. REGENCY MASTER+3.25L6. GO FOR TEA+3.75L7. BARON ZEE+3.75L8. OUR CLASS ACT+4.25L9. KING DRAGON+5.25L10. UNIVERSAL GO GO+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick AI ONE (20.4%) finished 11th — the winner RED BRICK FIGHTER was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 AI ONE 20.4% 4.90 11
2 0 REGENCY MASTER 18.9% 5.28 5
3 0 RED BRICK FIGHTER 13.6% 7.35 1
4 0 GO FOR TEA 13.4% 7.48 6
5 0 FEARLESS FIRE 7.5% 13.25 2
6 0 KING DRAGON 6.7% 14.87 9
7 0 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR 5.9% 16.88 4
8 0 OUR CLASS ACT 4.5% 22.34 8
9 0 SUPER HORNET 4.4% 22.57 3
10 0 UNIVERSAL GO GO 3.1% 31.92 10
11 0 BARON ZEE 1.5% 67.77 7
AI ONEREGENCY MASTERRED BRICK FIGHTER — wonGO FOR TEAFEARLESS FIREKING DRAGONYEE CHEONG WARRIOROUR CLASS ACTSUPER HORNETUNIVERSAL GO GOBARON ZEE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 60

PLACE

1 23.5

8 21.5

9 42

QUINELLA

1,8 193

QUINELLA PLACE

1,8 68.5

1,9 134

8,9 138

FORECAST

8,1 433

TIERCE

8,1,9 3,187

TRIO

1,8,9 801

FIRST 4

1,8,9,10 1,286

QUARTET

8,1,9,10 26,647

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 21.5

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

11/1 48.5

11/8 359.5