Happy Valley · 2022-05-25 · 21:47
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB 1.10.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 1 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | EXUBERANT B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 5.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | HARRIER JET B L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LORIZ K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | THETA HEDGE H/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 6 | 58.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | FIRE BALL TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HANDSOME VEGGIE L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 7 | 33.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 3 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 6.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DREAM CATCHER H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 10 | 92.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | PERFECT PEACH B/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | — | 32.0 | 4-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MIRACULOUS HONOUR A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EXCELLENT PEERS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with EXUBERANT second and HARRIER JET third. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 26.0% | 3.84 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | EXUBERANT | 21.5% | 4.65 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 15.9% | 6.30 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | LORIZ | 9.3% | 10.74 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | THETA HEDGE | 5.4% | 18.64 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | PERFECT PEACH | 5.2% | 19.16 | — |
| 7 | 0 | FIRE BALL | 4.2% | 23.65 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | HARRIER JET | 4.2% | 23.85 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | HANDSOME VEGGIE | 3.8% | 26.31 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | DREAM CATCHER | 2.2% | 44.45 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 2.2% | 45.00 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 24.5
PLACE
1 17
6 13.5
11 45.5
QUINELLA
1,6 73.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 32.5
1,11 131
6,11 86
FORECAST
6,1 133
TIERCE
6,1,11 1,313
TRIO
1,6,11 419
FIRST 4
1,6,8,11 331
QUARTET
6,1,11,8 5,547
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,9/1,11>4,6 28,182
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 17.5
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
8/1 91
8/4,6 163.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,10,11/1,8,9/1,11>4,6 2,169,343
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,10,11/1,8,9/Any Combination 5,213