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Happy Valley · 2022-05-25 · 19:46

Race 3

Class 2 GOOD 1650m Course C 7 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.49
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT Closed strongly V/TT 1.39.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor 4 5.0 SH
2 0 SOULMATE E Z Purton · P F Yiu 2 3.5 SH
3 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early K C Leung · Y S Tsui 7 10.0 1-1/4
4 0 GORYTUS XB/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 1 5.3 1-1/2
5 0 FA FA Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 5 6.6 2-1/4
6 0 APACHE PASS BO/XB L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan 3 17.0 3-1/4
7 0 SAVAQUIN J Moreira · J Size 6 4.2 5-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-25 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with SOULMATE second and TELECOM FIGHTERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite SOULMATE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT—2. SOULMATE+0.1L3. TELECOM FIGHTERS+1.25L4. GORYTUS+1.5L5. FA FA+2.25L6. APACHE PASS+3.25L7. SAVAQUIN+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick APACHE PASS (25.7%) finished 6th — the winner EVERYONE'S DELIGHT was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 APACHE PASS 25.7% 3.89 6
2 0 SOULMATE 25.6% 3.90 2
3 0 SAVAQUIN 20.7% 4.82 7
4 0 GORYTUS 8.7% 11.43 4
5 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT 8.5% 11.78 1
6 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS 7.3% 13.73 3
7 0 FA FA 3.4% 29.44 5
APACHE PASSSOULMATESAVAQUINGORYTUSEVERYONE'S DELIGHT — wonTELECOM FIGHTERSFA FA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 50.5

PLACE

1 24

3 15.5

6 18.5

QUINELLA

3,6 111

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 70.5

1,6 78

3,6 38.5

FORECAST

6,3 301

TIERCE

6,3,1 1,941

TRIO

1,3,6 340

FIRST 4

1,3,5,6 249

QUARTET

6,3,1,5 6,778

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

10/3 152

10/6 1,556

3 PICK 1

A3 39

A1 —

A2 —