Happy Valley · 2022-05-25 · 20:15
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TOYCOON Closed strongly CP-/B1 1.39.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 6 | 8.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 8.4 | N |
| 3 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B2 M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 7 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | OUR CREED V Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 4 | 3.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | LOTUS FAVORITES Closed strongly H J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 1 | 3.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | ENCORE Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 54.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | FARSHAD B-/SR-/CP2 A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 11 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ANGELS HUNTER B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 50.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | EVER LAUGH B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 8 | 20.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX Led early CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 15.0 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-25 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TOYCOON, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with PALACE PAL second and NOBLE STEED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite OUR CREED finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOTUS FAVORITES | 40.8% | 2.45 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | OUR CREED | 20.3% | 4.93 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX | 10.3% | 9.68 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | TOYCOON | 7.5% | 13.40 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | PALACE PAL | 4.4% | 22.63 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 4.0% | 24.72 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | ANGELS HUNTER | 3.9% | 25.83 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 3.3% | 30.47 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 3.0% | 33.23 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | FARSHAD | 1.6% | 62.48 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | ENCORE | 0.8% | 117.96 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 81
PLACE
2 24.5
4 22
10 41.5
QUINELLA
2,4 279.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 75.5
2,10 152.5
4,10 158
FORECAST
4,2 403
TIERCE
4,2,10 6,275
TRIO
2,4,10 1,176
FIRST 4
2,4,8,10 732
QUARTET
4,2,10,8 20,814
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 35
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
6/2 98
6/4 615.5