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Happy Valley · 2022-06-01 · 18:45

Race 1

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.32
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SWOT TROOPERS WIND Closed strongly B 1.39.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · D J Hall 1 4.9 1
2 0 SUNNY DELIGHT Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum 7 2.7 1
3 0 MISTER MONTE Led early B H T Mo · C W Chang 3 12.0 1-1/2
4 0 PAINTER B1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui 2 6.9 3-1/2
5 0 RED IMPACT B1/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes 5 5.0 3-3/4
6 0 UNITED ENDEAVORS Closed strongly H C L Chau · L Ho 8 64.0 7-1/2
7 0 SO AWESOME B/TT H Bentley · K L Man 4 12.0 9-1/2
8 0 SHADOW BREAKER Closed strongly SR/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 10 28.0 10-3/4
9 0 SURE WIN WIN B M F Poon · T P Yung 9 23.0 11-3/4
10 0 V CHEVALIERS B/H/TT K C Leung · K L Man 6 21.0 13-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-01 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SWOT TROOPERS WIND, ridden by L Currie and trained by D J Hall, won by 1, with SUNNY DELIGHT second and MISTER MONTE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite SUNNY DELIGHT finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SWOT TROOPERS WIND—2. SUNNY DELIGHT+1L3. MISTER MONTE+1.5L4. PAINTER+3.5L5. RED IMPACT+3.75L6. UNITED ENDEAVORS+7.5L7. SO AWESOME+9.5L8. SHADOW BREAKER+10.75L9. SURE WIN WIN+11.75L10. V CHEVALIERS+13.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SUNNY DELIGHT (35.0%) finished 2nd — the winner SWOT TROOPERS WIND was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUNNY DELIGHT 35.0% 2.85 2
2 0 SWOT TROOPERS WIND 19.0% 5.27 1
3 0 RED IMPACT 15.4% 6.48 5
4 0 SO AWESOME 9.4% 10.66 7
5 0 PAINTER 5.2% 19.28 4
6 0 V CHEVALIERS 4.6% 21.79 10
7 0 MISTER MONTE 3.7% 26.99 3
8 0 SHADOW BREAKER 3.3% 30.10 8
9 0 SURE WIN WIN 3.1% 32.75 9
10 0 UNITED ENDEAVORS 1.3% 74.34 6
SUNNY DELIGHTSWOT TROOPERS WIND — wonRED IMPACTSO AWESOMEPAINTERV CHEVALIERSMISTER MONTESHADOW BREAKERSURE WIN WINUNITED ENDEAVORS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 49

PLACE

6 18

8 13.5

10 31.5

QUINELLA

6,8 67

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 29

6,10 95.5

8,10 69.5

FORECAST

6,8 168

TIERCE

6,8,10 1,311

TRIO

6,8,10 262

FIRST 4

3,6,8,10 392

QUARTET

6,8,10,3 7,040

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 23.5

A3 —