Happy Valley · 2022-06-01 · 22:58
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-01 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DR WINNING, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by HD, with NIMBLE NIMBUS second and GIFT OF LIFELINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite WIN WIN FIGHTER finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DR WINNING Closed strongly TT 1.39.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 37.0 | HD |
| 2 | 8 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.7 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 3 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 4 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | CROSSFORD H/P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | EN POINTE Led early CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | THE HULK K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 2 | 39.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | VIVA HUNTER B/TT1 H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 8 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | SMOOTHIES B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 46.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | HORSESAIN BOLT B/TT R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 10 | 39.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 20.6% | 4.85 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | CROSSFORD | 17.8% | 5.63 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 17.2% | 5.81 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | EN POINTE | 15.4% | 6.51 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 8.0% | 12.44 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | VIVA HUNTER | 5.4% | 18.45 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | DR WINNING | 4.4% | 22.66 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | THE HULK | 4.1% | 24.35 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | MALDIVES | 3.9% | 25.80 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 2.2% | 45.30 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | SMOOTHIES | 1.0% | 104.57 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 372.5
PLACE
5 31
8 18.5
11 77.5
QUINELLA
8,11 807
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 84.5
5,11 387
8,11 225
FORECAST
11,8 2,668
TIERCE
11,8,5 22,307
TRIO
5,8,11 2,490
FIRST 4
5,8,9,11 1,665
QUARTET
11,8,5,9 76,351
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 39.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
9,10,11/5,8,11 43,492
8TH DOUBLE
9/8 30.5
9/11 770
SIX UP
7/4/3/1/9/11 322,594
7,11/4,10/1,3/1,7/9,11/8,11 5,310
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
1/9/8 63
1/9/11 1,535