Happy Valley · 2022-06-01 · 22:23
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RISING FROM ASHES, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by 2-1/2, with SUPER MISSION second and YO BEAUTY third. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RISING FROM ASHES H/CP1/TT 1.08.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 1 | 2.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER MISSION H/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | PING HAI GALAXY V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP/XB H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 12 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | ROMAN TURBO B Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 3 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | SCIENCE PATCH B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 31.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | PRIDE OF EIGHT XB1 H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 9 | 88.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | DECISIVE TWELVE P/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 6 | 43.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | COLOURFUL BARON B1/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 4 | 144.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | SHADOW MISSION L Ferraris · Y S Tsui | L Ferraris | Y S Tsui | 11 | 181.0 | 16 |
| — | 0 | PRANCE DRAGON C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RISING FROM ASHES | 41.3% | 2.42 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER MISSION | 12.4% | 8.05 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 9.1% | 10.99 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | YO BEAUTY | 8.7% | 11.44 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | SCIENCE PATCH | 7.3% | 13.70 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | ROMAN TURBO | 6.8% | 14.81 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | PING HAI GALAXY | 5.4% | 18.53 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 3.5% | 28.17 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 2.8% | 35.96 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | PRIDE OF EIGHT | 1.4% | 71.06 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | SHADOW MISSION | 0.8% | 132.21 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | COLOURFUL BARON | 0.5% | 205.19 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 23.5
PLACE
9 12.5
10 29.5
11 12.5
QUINELLA
9,11 36
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 50
9,11 17.5
10,11 48.5
FORECAST
9,11 60
TIERCE
9,11,10 298
TRIO
9,10,11 87
FIRST 4
3,9,10,11 158
QUARTET
9,11,10,3 1,661
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 13
A2 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
1/9 43.5
1/11 17.5