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Happy Valley · 2022-06-01 · 21:16

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C+3 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.05
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PACKING AWARD Closed strongly H 1.39.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · L Ho 8 10.0 N
2 0 PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 1 10.0 N
3 0 NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 2 3.0 2-1/2
4 0 THE ANOMALY Led early V H Bentley · K H Ting 9 15.0 2-1/2
5 0 READY PLAYER ONE Closed strongly B/TT C Wong · C W Chang 6 12.0 2-3/4
6 0 CINQUANTE CINQ B2 C L Chau · T P Yung 3 22.0 3
7 0 RED MAJESTY B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 7 4.7 3-1/2
8 0 COPARTNER FIONN C Y Ho · W Y So 4 15.0 4-1/4
9 0 OSCAR GLORY CP A Badel · F C Lor 5 4.6 5-1/4
— 0 ESCAPE ROUTE K Teetan · J Size — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-01 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PACKING AWARD, ridden by M F Poon and trained by L Ho, won by N, with PRIME MINISTER second and NEARLY FINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite NEARLY FINE finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PACKING AWARD—2. PRIME MINISTER+0.05L3. NEARLY FINE+2.5L4. THE ANOMALY+2.5L5. READY PLAYER ONE+2.75L6. CINQUANTE CINQ+3L7. RED MAJESTY+3.5L8. COPARTNER FIONN+4.25L9. OSCAR GLORY+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick NEARLY FINE (36.8%) finished 3rd — the winner PACKING AWARD was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 NEARLY FINE 36.8% 2.72 3
2 0 RED MAJESTY 13.0% 7.69 7
3 0 OSCAR GLORY 11.1% 9.00 9
4 0 PACKING AWARD 9.8% 10.20 1
5 0 COPARTNER FIONN 8.6% 11.67 8
6 0 READY PLAYER ONE 7.2% 13.88 5
7 0 THE ANOMALY 7.1% 14.14 4
8 0 PRIME MINISTER 3.4% 29.77 2
9 0 CINQUANTE CINQ 3.1% 32.38 6
NEARLY FINERED MAJESTYOSCAR GLORYPACKING AWARD — wonCOPARTNER FIONNREADY PLAYER ONETHE ANOMALYPRIME MINISTERCINQUANTE CINQ

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 102

PLACE

1 32.5

3 21.5

7 14.5

QUINELLA

1,3 535

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 154

1,7 64

3,7 56.5

FORECAST

3,1 863

TIERCE

3,1,7 3,146

TRIO

1,3,7 470

FIRST 4

1,3,7,8 1,090

QUARTET

3,1,7,8 28,547

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 55.5

A1 —

A3 —

5TH DOUBLE

4/1 48

4/3 391