Happy Valley · 2022-06-01 · 19:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-01 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. E LEGEND, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 1, with BLISSFUL STAR second and LUCKY MISSILE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite LUCKY MISSILE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | E LEGEND Closed strongly 1.40.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 8 | 4.1 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly V/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 7 | 4.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | LUCKY MISSILE Closed strongly CP J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 2 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly CP-/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 6 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | BEST FOR YOU Led early B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 3 | 9.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | NEW ASIA ADVANCE B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 1 | 81.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | HAPPY GATHERING H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 4 | 34.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT SR/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 26.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LUCKY MISSILE | 29.4% | 3.40 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | E LEGEND | 17.2% | 5.83 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | BLISSFUL STAR | 16.7% | 5.98 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY | 15.1% | 6.63 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | HAPPY GATHERING | 6.0% | 16.68 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | CITY LEGEND | 5.2% | 19.29 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 4.6% | 21.57 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 2.7% | 36.89 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | BEST FOR YOU | 2.4% | 41.59 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | NEW ASIA ADVANCE | 0.7% | 143.41 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 41.5
PLACE
2 17
3 15.5
5 13
QUINELLA
2,3 89
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 36
2,5 29.5
3,5 24.5
FORECAST
2,3 187
TIERCE
2,3,5 453
TRIO
2,3,5 67
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 53
QUARTET
2,3,5,1 1,317
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
8/2 209.5
8/3 30.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 21
A3 —