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Happy Valley · 2022-06-01 · 21:52

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1000m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-01 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GORGEOUS VITALITY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 3-1/2, with YELLOWFIN second and FABULOUS EIGHT third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.56.77
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 GORGEOUS VITALITY 0.56.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor 6 2.5 3-1/2
2 7 YELLOWFIN J Moreira · K W Lui 11 17.0 3-1/2
3 3 FABULOUS EIGHT B2/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu 9 8.6 3-3/4
4 10 VIVA MAMA CP/TT K Teetan · R Gibson 2 5.2 3-3/4
5 4 MOMENTUM GALAXY B K C Leung · K H Ting 12 66.0 5
6 12 STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT M F Poon · W Y So 5 21.0 5
7 2 RACING FIGHTER B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip 10 31.0 6-1/4
8 5 BLUSTITCH TT1 A Hamelin · A T Millard 1 56.0 7
9 11 CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN V H T Mo · L Ho 8 37.0 7-1/4
10 6 SERGEANT PEPPER B1 L Ferraris · Y S Tsui 4 12.0 7-1/2
11 9 INFINITY WIN TT L Currie · D A Hayes 3 4.8 8
12 8 COLOURFUL PRINCE SR-/XB/B1/TT R Maia · D J Whyte 7 32.0 9-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GORGEOUS VITALITY2. YELLOWFIN+3.5L3. FABULOUS EIGHT+3.75L4. VIVA MAMA+3.75L5. MOMENTUM GALAXY+5L6. STRIVE FOR GLORY+5L7. RACING FIGHTER+6.25L8. BLUSTITCH+7L9. CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN+7.25L10. SERGEANT PEPPER+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick GORGEOUS VITALITY (29.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 GORGEOUS VITALITY 29.0% 3.45 1
2 10 VIVA MAMA 20.1% 4.97 4
3 9 INFINITY WIN 13.5% 7.43 11
4 7 YELLOWFIN 7.5% 13.41 2
5 3 FABULOUS EIGHT 7.2% 13.86 3
6 12 STRIVE FOR GLORY 6.1% 16.52 6
7 5 BLUSTITCH 3.3% 30.51 8
8 2 RACING FIGHTER 3.3% 30.75 7
9 6 SERGEANT PEPPER 3.0% 33.09 10
10 11 CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN 2.9% 34.24 9
11 4 MOMENTUM GALAXY 2.3% 43.75 5
12 8 COLOURFUL PRINCE 2.0% 50.64 12
GORGEOUS VITALITY — wonVIVA MAMAINFINITY WINYELLOWFINFABULOUS EIGHTSTRIVE FOR GLORYBLUSTITCHRACING FIGHTERSERGEANT PEPPERCHUNGHWA JINGSHENMOMENTUM GALAXYCOLOURFUL PRINCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 25.5

PLACE

1 13

3 21

7 49.5

QUINELLA

1,7 271

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 57

1,7 101.5

3,7 229

FORECAST

1,7 436

TIERCE

1,7,3 2,694

TRIO

1,3,7 689

FIRST 4

1,3,7,10 603

QUARTET

1,7,3,10 10,289

All pools (5 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,3>4,7/1,3,7 42,495

3 PICK 1

A3

A2

A1 17

6TH DOUBLE

3/1 197.5

3/7 477

TRIPLE TRIO

4,7,10/1,3>4,7/1,3,7 1,870,546

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,7,10/1,3>4,7/Any Combination 1,479