Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2022-06-01 · 20:46

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PLEASANT ENDEAVOR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/2, with TAKE WHAT YOU NEED second and FIGHTING STAR third. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B 1.09.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 3.6 1-1/2
2 10 TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT R Maia · D J Whyte 4 8.3 1-1/2
3 7 FIGHTING STAR B/XB/TT Z Purton · C H Yip 1 4.1 1-3/4
4 8 MULTIMORE TT H T Mo · T P Yung 7 24.0 1-3/4
5 11 WINS ALL TT H Bentley · W Y So 8 12.0 2-3/4
6 1 CHARMING STEED TT K H Chan · C Fownes 5 8.5 4-1/4
7 12 MELBOURNE HALL H/XB A Badel · D J Hall 9 9.8 4-1/2
8 2 TURQUOISE HOPE B/TT C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan 10 71.0 6-1/4
9 5 SHINING FORTUNE H J Moreira · J Size 12 5.7 6-1/2
10 6 COMMON ROOM CP/TT L Currie · C S Shum 6 81.0 8-1/2
11 3 BULB PRINCE SR-/TT1 M F Poon · C H Yip 2 38.0 9
12 9 HANDSOME GUYS B2 L Ferraris · Y S Tsui 11 116.0 10-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PLEASANT ENDEAVOR2. TAKE WHAT YOU NEED+1.5L3. FIGHTING STAR+1.75L4. MULTIMORE+1.75L5. WINS ALL+2.75L6. CHARMING STEED+4.25L7. MELBOURNE HALL+4.5L8. TURQUOISE HOPE+6.25L9. SHINING FORTUNE+6.5L10. COMMON ROOM+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick FIGHTING STAR (22.0%) finished 3rd — the winner PLEASANT ENDEAVOR was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 FIGHTING STAR 22.0% 4.55 3
2 5 SHINING FORTUNE 20.8% 4.82 9
3 4 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR 14.8% 6.75 1
4 1 CHARMING STEED 12.0% 8.30 6
5 10 TAKE WHAT YOU NEED 7.4% 13.53 2
6 12 MELBOURNE HALL 6.9% 14.51 7
7 11 WINS ALL 6.4% 15.51 5
8 8 MULTIMORE 5.2% 19.26 4
9 2 TURQUOISE HOPE 1.6% 64.02 8
10 3 BULB PRINCE 1.3% 78.04 11
11 9 HANDSOME GUYS 0.9% 112.37 12
12 6 COMMON ROOM 0.7% 136.55 10
FIGHTING STARSHINING FORTUNEPLEASANT ENDEAVOR — wonCHARMING STEEDTAKE WHAT YOU NEEDMELBOURNE HALLWINS ALLMULTIMORETURQUOISE HOPEBULB PRINCEHANDSOME GUYSCOMMON ROOM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 36

PLACE

4 16

7 16.5

10 24.5

QUINELLA

4,10 119

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 32.5

4,10 44.5

7,10 64

FORECAST

4,10 268

TIERCE

4,10,7 839

TRIO

4,7,10 139

FIRST 4

4,7,8,10 675

QUARTET

4,10,7,8 11,102

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

5,7,11/4,7,10 36,300

3 PICK 1

A3

A1 22

A2

4TH DOUBLE

7/4 143

7/10 78