Sha Tin · 2022-09-18 · 18:03
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly CP 1.22.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 7 | 3.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | RED TITAN Led early H/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER HERO XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HANDSOME TWELVE H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 8 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ERIMO H-/B V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 11 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB CP/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 5.5 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | ROUND THE EARTH Closed strongly B1 C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 13 | 66.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | DRAGON FORTUNE TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 7.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER TEN SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS B/TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 5 | 30.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly CP-/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | 59.0 | 1 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-18 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MR ASCENDENCY, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with RED TITAN second and MASTER HERO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY | 17.3% | 5.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ERIMO | 14.0% | 7.13 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB | 13.9% | 7.22 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 10.1% | 9.87 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | RED TITAN | 8.2% | 12.18 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 7.4% | 13.52 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER TEN | 5.3% | 18.80 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE | 5.1% | 19.45 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 4.7% | 21.13 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 4.7% | 21.21 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | ROUND THE EARTH | 4.3% | 23.41 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | MASTER HERO | 2.8% | 36.28 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | KASA PAPA | 2.1% | 47.37 | — |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 31
PLACE
2 15.5
7 136.5
12 36.5
QUINELLA
2,7 969
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 321.5
2,12 81.5
7,12 780.5
FORECAST
2,7 1,516
TIERCE
2,7,12 17,506
TRIO
2,7,12 2,486
FIRST 4
2,3,7,12 11,237
QUARTET
2,7,12,3 210,327
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 20
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,10>2,9/2,7,12 141,858
9TH DOUBLE
2,9/2 56
2,9/7 246
SIX UP
11,12/12,13/6,9/5,10/1,2,9/2,7 51,279
11/13/6/10/2,9/2 1,358,900
2 [P F Yiu] —
8 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
10/2,9/2 226
10/2,9/7 1,211