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Sha Tin · 2022-09-18 · 16:06

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course B 8 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 HAPPY SHARING TT Y L Chung · P C Ng 1 3.0 N
3 0 SUPER WINNER TT A Hamelin · C H Yip 2 14.0 1/2
4 0 STAR BRITE CP/TT Z Purton · K W Lui 6 13.0 1-1/4
5 0 BUNDLE OF CHARM A Badel · J Size 8 2.7 1-1/2
6 0 READY TO WIN CP/XB/H1/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 5 7.7 6-1/2
7 0 CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 4 19.0 7-1/2
8 0 EXCELLENT DADDY TT C L Chau · T P Yung 9 22.0 11-3/4
9 0 HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT H T Mo · C W Chang 7 41.0 30-1/4
— 0 SETANTA B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes — 8.3 N

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-18 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HAPPY SHARING, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with SUPER WINNER second and STAR BRITE third. The 2.7 favourite BUNDLE OF CHARM finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. HAPPY SHARING+0.05L3. SUPER WINNER+0.5L4. STAR BRITE+1.25L5. BUNDLE OF CHARM+1.5L6. READY TO WIN+6.5L7. CALIFORNIA CONCORD+7.5L8. EXCELLENT DADDY+11.75L9. HIGHLY PROACTIVE+30.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BUNDLE OF CHARM 35.3% 2.84 5
2 0 SETANTA 14.0% 7.12 —
3 0 READY TO WIN 13.0% 7.72 6
4 0 HAPPY SHARING 12.7% 7.84 2
5 0 CALIFORNIA CONCORD 7.7% 13.06 7
6 0 STAR BRITE 7.2% 13.87 4
7 0 EXCELLENT DADDY 6.0% 16.76 8
8 0 SUPER WINNER 2.6% 38.81 3
9 0 HIGHLY PROACTIVE 1.6% 63.30 9
BUNDLE OF CHARMSETANTAREADY TO WINHAPPY SHARINGCALIFORNIA CONCORDSTAR BRITEEXCELLENT DADDYSUPER WINNERHIGHLY PROACTIVE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 83

PLACE

6 24

8 29.5

9 13.5

QUINELLA

6,9 103.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 110.5

6,9 38.5

8,9 55

FORECAST

6,9 280

TIERCE

6,9,8 1,723

TRIO

6,8,9 273

FIRST 4

1,6,8,9 791

QUARTET

6,9,8,1 15,981

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

7,12,13/6,8,9 1,425,147

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 31

A1 —

6TH DOUBLE

13/6 1,652.5

13/9 196