Sha Tin · 2022-09-18 · 16:53
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT 1.07.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 4.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | MAN STAR V K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 4 | 9.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | CZARSON B/TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR CP/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MR VALIANT H-/XB L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 8 | 31.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KAI XIN DRAGON TT Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 11 | 12.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY FUN TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 6 | 13.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CALL ME TEDDY TT S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 1 | 3.4 | 10-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | RED DESERT B1 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 22.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FLYING BONUS P2 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 12 | 29.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 2 | 22.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | GOLDEN WARSTEED XB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 9 | 52.0 | 20-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-18 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. SUPER WIN DRAGON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 2-1/2, with MAN STAR second and CZARSON third. The 3.4 favourite CALL ME TEDDY finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 22.2% | 4.50 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CZARSON | 19.6% | 5.10 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | CALL ME TEDDY | 11.0% | 9.12 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 8.7% | 11.43 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | MAN STAR | 8.0% | 12.51 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 7.9% | 12.72 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY FUN | 6.9% | 14.57 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | KAI XIN DRAGON | 5.2% | 19.39 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | MR VALIANT | 4.2% | 23.70 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | RED DESERT | 2.7% | 36.65 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | FLYING BONUS | 2.7% | 37.17 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | GOLDEN WARSTEED | 0.9% | 108.49 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 40.5
PLACE
1 23.5
5 26
10 16
QUINELLA
5,10 189
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 95
1,10 54.5
5,10 69
FORECAST
10,5 332
TIERCE
10,5,1 1,378
TRIO
1,5,10 290
FIRST 4
1,5,9,10 508
QUARTET
10,5,1,9 8,298
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 26
7TH DOUBLE
6/5 120
6/10 506