Happy Valley · 2022-09-28 · 19:18
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-09-28 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ALL IS READY, ridden by V Borges and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with FLASH FAMOUS second and MEDIC ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.9 favourite SMILING FACE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ALL IS READY Closed strongly B 1.41.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 5 | 36.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 1 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 9 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | HANDSOME VEGGIE Led early H- Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 6.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SURE WIN WIN Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 8 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly TT- C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 8.2 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 9.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | BELL OF VICTORY B- L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 4 | 28.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | GO GO SIXTEEN B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 2 | 9.1 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | ENCORE TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 12 | 35.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FLASH FAMOUS | 18.8% | 5.32 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | SMILING FACE | 17.5% | 5.71 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 13.9% | 7.17 | 11 |
| 4 | 4 | JOLLY HONOUR | 8.6% | 11.66 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 7.8% | 12.81 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | HANDSOME VEGGIE | 7.3% | 13.70 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | DAILY BEAUTY | 6.6% | 15.10 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | SURE WIN WIN | 6.3% | 15.82 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | BELL OF VICTORY | 3.7% | 27.35 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | MEDIC ELITE | 3.5% | 28.80 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | ALL IS READY | 3.4% | 29.09 | 1 |
| 12 | 2 | ENCORE | 2.5% | 39.69 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 361
PLACE
5 107
8 19
12 41
QUINELLA
5,8 1,111
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 335
5,12 782.5
8,12 135.5
FORECAST
5,8 3,626
TIERCE
5,8,12 43,791
TRIO
5,8,12 4,459
FIRST 4
5,6,8,12 11,472
QUARTET
5,8,12,6 412,857
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 21.5
A2 —