Happy Valley · 2022-09-28 · 21:46
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-09-28 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. YO BEAUTY, ridden by A Badel and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with EXCELLENT PEERS second and TRADER third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT 1.09.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | TRADER CP/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 4 | 8.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | NICCONI COUNTY TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 5.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | NAMJONG SINGS B H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 2 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER WINNER TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 5 | 5.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO CP/H L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 7 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | ELON E/P L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 10 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | MODEST GENTLEMAN H/V1/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 9 | 51.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | YO BEAUTY | 29.0% | 3.44 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 23.5% | 4.26 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | NICCONI COUNTY | 13.2% | 7.55 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER WINNER | 9.1% | 10.97 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | TRADER | 6.4% | 15.74 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | NAMJONG SINGS | 5.8% | 17.13 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 4.0% | 25.06 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | ELON | 3.9% | 25.48 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO | 3.9% | 25.51 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 1.1% | 91.41 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 26
PLACE
4 31.5
5 12.5
9 25.5
QUINELLA
4,5 134.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 55.5
4,9 130.5
5,9 41
FORECAST
5,4 255
TIERCE
5,4,9 1,436
TRIO
4,5,9 329
FIRST 4
1,4,5,9 344
QUARTET
5,4,9,1 6,603
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,7/4,5,9 11,646
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/4 72.5
2/5 141
TRIPLE TRIO
2,8,9/2,3,7/4,5,9 697,745
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,8,9/2,3,7/Any Combination 3,686